Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Trailblazers @ Lancers UTU @ CBU

UTAH TECH

TRAILBLAZERSUTU

10-10  |  Road

64
FINAL
Wed, Jan 21 • 10:00 PM ET
Dale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center
View Odds Details →

CALIFORNIA BAPTIST

LANCERSCBU

13-6  |  Home

73
AI Model Win Probability
TRAILBLAZERS
0%
📊
LANCERS
100%
TRAILBLAZERS --
LANCERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
UTAH TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Utah Tech)
TrailblazersUTU (-3.5) 0 LancersCBU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Trailblazers Cover

94.5%

Lancers Cover

5.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UTU -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTU)

UTU By 1-7 points

13.7%

UTU By 8-14 points

24.3%

CBU By 1-7 points

4.0%

CBU By 8-14 points

0.8%

AI Model Projected Score
78
UTAH TECH
62
CALIFORNIA BAPTIST
Simulated Score
68
UTAH TECH
76
CALIFORNIA BAPTIST
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Trailblazers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Lancers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Trailblazers (-8.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim Lancers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u144.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim u144.0 Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 13, 2026 UTU @ CBU 72 - 86
Feb 14, 2026 CBU @ UTU 65 - 70
Jan 21, 2026 UTU @ CBU 64 - 73
Jan 8, 2026 UTU @ CBU 72 - 84
Mar 1, 2025 CBU @ UTU 61 - 57
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +33.0% more
Utah Tech: 16.0 vs California Baptist: 10.7
Steals (L5) +32.1% more
Utah Tech: 7.7 vs California Baptist: 5.2
Blocks (L5) +25.6% more
Utah Tech: 5.2 vs California Baptist: 3.9
Turnovers (L5) +18.9% more
Utah Tech: 13.6 vs California Baptist: 11.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTU Score 78.0 64
CBU Score 62.0 73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.3 / 29.1 29.0 / 38.0
Assists 10.7 / 16.0 8.0 / 12.0
Blocks 3.9 / 5.2 4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 42.7 / 46.3 47.0 / 37.0
Free Throw % 75.0 / 71.8 57.0 / 100.0
Rebounding 41.0 / 34.1 40.0 / 36.0
Steals 5.2 / 7.7 3.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 11.0 / 13.6 7.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
20%MONEY80%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
29%MONEY71%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
84%MONEY16%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTU
19-15-0 (55.9%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: +1.8
CBU Advantage
25-9-0 (73.5%)
Margin: 5.1 ATS +/-: +1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTU Advantage
19-12-0 (61.3%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: +1.8
CBU
20-14-0 (58.8%)
Margin: 5.1 ATS +/-: +1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
UTU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +4.1
CBU
12-22-0
O: 35.3% / U: 64.7% Total +/-: -4.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CBU
UTU
CBU
UTU
ML
50% 17-17
68% 23-11
76% 25-8
62% 21-13
ATS
53% 18-16
65% 22-12
76% 25-8
62% 21-13
TTL
47% 16-18
65% 22-12
100% 33-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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