Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Runnin' Bulldogs @ Lancers GWEB @ LONG

GARDNER-WEBB

RUNNIN' BULLDOGSGWEB

2-18  |  Road

56
FINAL
Wed, Jan 21 • 7:00 PM ET
Joan Perry Brock Center
View Odds Details →

LONGWOOD

LANCERSLONG

10-10  |  Home

91
AI Model Win Probability
RUNNIN' BULLDOGS
0%
📊
LANCERS
100%
RUNNIN' BULLDOGS --
LANCERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
160.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+12.0
LONGWOOD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Runnin' BulldogsGWEB (-3.5) 0 LancersLONG (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Runnin' Bulldogs Cover

11.5%

Lancers Cover

88.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LONG +12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LONG)

GWEB By 1-7 points

20.1%

GWEB By 8-14 points

27.2%

LONG By 1-7 points

8.0%

LONG By 8-14 points

2.2%

AI Model Projected Score
86
GARDNER-WEBB
74
LONGWOOD
Simulated Score
70
GARDNER-WEBB
72
LONGWOOD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Runnin' Bulldogs Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Lancers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Lancers (+14.5) Win
Proj Spread: +12.0
D
Sim Lancers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o155.5 Loss
Proj Total: 160.0
D
Sim u155.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 4, 2026 LONG @ GWEB 86 - 66
Jan 21, 2026 GWEB @ LONG 56 - 91
Feb 19, 2025 GWEB @ LONG 77 - 90
Jan 29, 2025 LONG @ GWEB 87 - 92
Feb 29, 2024 LONG @ GWEB 69 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +13.9% more
Gardner-Webb: 2.1 vs Longwood: 1.8
Turnovers (L5) +9.3% more
Gardner-Webb: 14.5 vs Longwood: 13.1
Assists (L5) +57.3% more
Longwood: 15.7 vs Gardner-Webb: 10.0
Steals (L5) +41.9% more
Longwood: 6.9 vs Gardner-Webb: 4.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GWEB Score 86.0 56
LONG Score 74.0 91
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.4 / 29.5 29.0 / 26.0
Assists 15.7 / 10.0 16.0 / 9.0
Blocks 1.8 / 2.1 4.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 48.5 / 41.1 55.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 72.2 / 63.5 80.0 / 58.0
Rebounding 34.8 / 28.7 41.0 / 29.0
Steals 6.9 / 4.9 14.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 13.1 / 14.5 12.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
19%MONEY81%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
19%MONEY81%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
32%TICKETS68%
52%MONEY48%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GWEB
4-29-0 (12.1%)
Margin: -17.3 ATS +/-: -3.0
LONG Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.6 ATS +/-: +0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GWEB Advantage
15-14-1 (51.7%)
Margin: -17.3 ATS +/-: -3.0
LONG
13-16-0 (44.8%)
Margin: 3.6 ATS +/-: +0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
GWEB
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: -1.0
LONG
17-12-0
O: 58.6% / U: 41.4% Total +/-: +2.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LONG
GWEB
LONG
GWEB
ML
65% 20-11
73% 22-8
68% 21-10
63% 19-11
ATS
68% 21-10
73% 22-8
68% 21-10
63% 19-11
TTL
65% 20-11
53% 16-14
100% 31-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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