DETROIT
PISTONSDET
31-10 | Road
112
NEW ORLEANS
PELICANSNO
10-35 | Home
104
AI Model Win Probability
PISTONS
0%
PELICANS
100%
PISTONS
--
PELICANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
245.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+7.0
NEW ORLEANS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NO +7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NO)
DET By 1-7 points
26.2%
DET By 8-14 points
25.3%
NO By 1-7 points
15.3%
NO By 8-14 points
5.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
126
DETROIT
New Orleans
119
NEW ORLEANS
Simulated Score
Detroit
120
DETROIT
New Orleans
105
NEW ORLEANS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Pistons
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pistons
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Pelicans (+7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +7.0
D
Sim
Pistons (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o231.0
Loss
Proj Total: 245.0
D
Sim
u231.0
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 26, 2026
NO @ DET
108 - 129
Jan 21, 2026
DET @ NO
112 - 104
Mar 23, 2025
NO @ DET
130 - 136
Mar 17, 2025
DET @ NO
127 - 81
Mar 24, 2024
NO @ DET
114 - 101
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+36.5% more
Detroit: 11.7
vs
New Orleans: 7.5
Blocks (L5)
+35.8% more
Detroit: 8.4
vs
New Orleans: 5.4
Turnovers (L5)
+12.2% more
Detroit: 14.7
vs
New Orleans: 12.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.1%
New Orleans: 78.6%
vs
Detroit: 71.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
126.0
112
NO Score
119.0
104
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.3 / 35.1
22.0 / 38.0
Assists
24.9 / 26.6
19.0 / 26.0
Blocks
5.4 / 8.4
6.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
48.8 / 45.9
42.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
78.6 / 71.5
83.0 / 79.0
Rebounding
42.9 / 45.9
46.0 / 47.0
Steals
7.5 / 11.7
13.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
12.9 / 14.7
19.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
NO
26-56-0
(31.7%)
Margin: -4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
NO
Advantage
45-36-1
(55.6%)
Margin: -4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
NO
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NO
DET
NO
DET
ML
62%
98-61
55%
64-53
58%
48-35
49%
47-49
ATS
68%
107-51-1
53%
60-54-3
58%
48-35
49%
47-49
TTL
75%
119-40
60%
70-46-1
100%
83-0
100%
96-0
Contextual Game News
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
Bill Self's Revamped Kansas Roster Built for Another National Ti…
Luka Doncic Embraces Lakers Legacy: 'It's an Honor, Not Pressure…
Phillies' 2027 Forecast: Four Farmhands Ready to Step Up
Kentucky's Pro Day Showcases Depth, Cutting Edge, and Standout P…