CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
24-20 | Road
94
CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
16-27 | Home
87
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
100%
HORNETS
0%
CAVALIERS
--
HORNETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
217.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
CHARLOTTE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Charlotte)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CHA -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHA)
CLE By 1-7 points
18.6%
CLE By 8-14 points
8.0%
CHA By 1-7 points
27.2%
CHA By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
106
CLEVELAND
Charlotte
111
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
Cleveland
102
CLEVELAND
Charlotte
110
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hornets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hornets
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hornets (+3.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Hornets (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u238.0
Win
Proj Total: 217.0
D
Sim
u238.0
Win
Proj Total: 212.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 20, 2026
CLE @ CHA
118 - 113
Jan 21, 2026
CLE @ CHA
94 - 87
Dec 22, 2025
CHA @ CLE
132 - 139
Dec 14, 2025
CHA @ CLE
119 - 111
Mar 7, 2025
CLE @ CHA
118 - 117
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.7%
Charlotte: 83.9%
vs
Cleveland: 78.2%
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.9%
Charlotte: 48.8%
vs
Cleveland: 46.9%
Steals (L5)
+41.4% more
Cleveland: 7.9
vs
Charlotte: 4.6
Blocks (L5)
+25.3% more
Cleveland: 5.0
vs
Charlotte: 3.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
106.0
94
CHA Score
111.0
87
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.5 / 37.1
17.0 / 20.0
Assists
29.1 / 30.9
20.0 / 20.0
Blocks
3.7 / 5.0
4.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
48.8 / 46.9
34.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
83.9 / 78.2
72.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
49.4 / 45.9
47.0 / 60.0
Steals
4.6 / 7.9
12.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
14.1 / 17.5
13.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
Advantage
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
CHA
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHA
CLE
CHA
CLE
ML
61%
60-39
60%
69-46
48%
40-44
56%
55-44
ATS
60%
59-40
67%
75-37-3
48%
40-44
56%
55-44
TTL
58%
57-42
59%
68-47
100%
84-0
100%
99-0
Contextual Game News
Tyler Kolek's Girlfriend Spills: Knicks Parade Police Mix-Up Hap…
Matt Barnes: Clippers Are Cursed, Urges Steve Ballmer to Rebrand
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
Bill Self's Revamped Kansas Roster Built for Another National Ti…
Phillies' 2027 Forecast: Four Farmhands Ready to Step Up