HOLY CROSS
CRUSADERSHC
8-11 | Road
68
NAVY
MIDSHIPMENNAVY
13-6 | Home
85
AI Model Win Probability
CRUSADERS
100%
MIDSHIPMEN
0%
CRUSADERS
--
MIDSHIPMEN
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
138.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
NAVY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Navy)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NAVY -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NAVY)
HC By 1-7 points
4.0%
HC By 8-14 points
0.8%
NAVY By 1-7 points
13.7%
NAVY By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Holy Cross
61
HOLY CROSS
Navy
77
NAVY
Simulated Score
Holy Cross
68
HOLY CROSS
Navy
72
NAVY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Midshipmen
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Midshipmen
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Midshipmen (-9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim
Midshipmen (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o134.5
Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Sim
u134.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 21, 2026
HC @ NAVY
68 - 85
Jan 3, 2026
NAVY @ HC
65 - 58
Feb 23, 2025
HC @ NAVY
77 - 83
Jan 8, 2025
NAVY @ HC
59 - 70
Feb 25, 2024
HC @ NAVY
66 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+94.9% more
Navy: 3.0
vs
Holy Cross: 1.6
Rebounding (L5)
+41.1% more
Navy: 43.1
vs
Holy Cross: 30.5
Assists (L5)
+35.9% more
Navy: 12.9
vs
Holy Cross: 9.5
Turnovers (L5)
+35.6% more
Navy: 13.4
vs
Holy Cross: 9.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HC Score
61.0
68
NAVY Score
77.0
85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.0 / 32.1
35.0 / 32.0
Assists
12.9 / 9.5
22.0 / 8.0
Blocks
3.0 / 1.6
0.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
43.3 / 42.7
56.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
69.8 / 75.7
78.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
43.1 / 30.5
26.0 / 28.0
Steals
5.6 / 5.4
7.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
13.4 / 9.9
6.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HC
11-22-0
(33.3%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.2
NAVY
Advantage
26-8-0
(76.5%)
Margin: 10.3
ATS +/-: +3.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HC
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.2
NAVY
Advantage
20-11-1
(64.5%)
Margin: 10.3
ATS +/-: +3.7
⚖️ Over/Under
HC
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.3
NAVY
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: -1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NAVY
HC
NAVY
HC
ML
79%
26-7
52%
16-15
55%
18-15
61%
19-12
ATS
73%
24-9
55%
17-14
55%
18-15
64%
21-12
TTL
73%
24-9
58%
18-13
100%
33-0
100%
33-0
