KENNESAW STATE
OWLSKENN
12-6 | Road
87
SAM HOUSTON
BEARKATSSHSU
11-7 | Home
93
AI Model Win Probability
OWLS
100%
BEARKATS
0%
OWLS
--
BEARKATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
184.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
SAM HOUSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Sam Houston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SHSU -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SHSU)
KENN By 1-7 points
16.9%
KENN By 8-14 points
6.8%
SHSU By 1-7 points
26.8%
SHSU By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Kennesaw State
89
KENNESAW STATE
Sam Houston
95
SAM HOUSTON
Simulated Score
Kennesaw State
68
KENNESAW STATE
Sam Houston
75
SAM HOUSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bearkats
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bearkats
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bearkats (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Bearkats (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o166.5
Win
Proj Total: 184.0
D
Sim
u166.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 13, 2026
KENN @ SHSU
79 - 73
Feb 14, 2026
SHSU @ KENN
83 - 79
Jan 21, 2026
KENN @ SHSU
87 - 93
Feb 15, 2025
KENN @ SHSU
76 - 78
Jan 16, 2025
SHSU @ KENN
69 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+52.6% more
Sam Houston: 8.2
vs
Kennesaw State: 5.3
Turnovers (L5)
+16.3% more
Sam Houston: 14.0
vs
Kennesaw State: 12.0
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.4%
Sam Houston: 47.0%
vs
Kennesaw State: 42.6%
Blocks (L5)
+81.8% more
Kennesaw State: 8.0
vs
Sam Houston: 1.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
KENN Score
89.0
87
SHSU Score
95.0
93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.7 / 37.4
50.0 / 38.0
Assists
16.2 / 15.8
26.0 / 19.0
Blocks
1.5 / 8.0
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
47.0 / 42.6
56.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
67.8 / 72.8
63.0 / 74.0
Rebounding
39.9 / 42.4
36.0 / 41.0
Steals
8.2 / 5.3
5.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
14.0 / 12.0
9.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KENN
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 6.8
ATS +/-: +0.8
SHSU
Advantage
22-12-0
(64.7%)
Margin: 7.1
ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KENN
15-16-1
(48.4%)
Margin: 6.8
ATS +/-: +0.8
SHSU
Advantage
20-11-0
(64.5%)
Margin: 7.1
ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
KENN
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: +0.8
SHSU
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SHSU
KENN
SHSU
KENN
ML
55%
18-15
74%
25-9
74%
23-8
72%
23-9
ATS
64%
21-12
71%
24-10
74%
23-8
73%
24-9
TTL
48%
16-17
56%
19-15
100%
31-0
100%
33-0
