AI Model Win Probability
RAMS
100%
WILDCATS
0%
RAMS
--
WILDCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
124.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
DAVIDSON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (Davidson)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DAV -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAV)
FOR By 1-7 points
1.7%
FOR By 8-14 points
0.3%
DAV By 1-7 points
8.0%
DAV By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Fordham
52
FORDHAM
Davidson
72
DAVIDSON
Simulated Score
Fordham
68
FORDHAM
Davidson
75
DAVIDSON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Wildcats
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wildcats
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wildcats (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim
Wildcats (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u134.5
Win
Proj Total: 124.0
D
Sim
u134.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 21, 2026
DAV @ FOR
59 - 63
Jan 21, 2026
FOR @ DAV
63 - 68
Feb 22, 2025
DAV @ FOR
80 - 69
Jan 11, 2025
FOR @ DAV
64 - 74
Mar 12, 2024
DAV @ FOR
63 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+272.8% more
Davidson: 5.6
vs
Fordham: 1.5
Assists (L5)
+30.3% more
Davidson: 14.7
vs
Fordham: 11.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+14.9%
Davidson: 39.1%
vs
Fordham: 24.2%
Field Goal % (L5)
+6.1%
Davidson: 44.6%
vs
Fordham: 38.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FOR Score
52.0
63
DAV Score
72.0
68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.1 / 24.2
17.0 / 42.0
Assists
14.7 / 11.3
6.0 / 7.0
Blocks
5.6 / 1.5
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
44.6 / 38.4
43.0 / 54.0
Free Throw %
61.3 / 70.5
74.0 / 57.0
Rebounding
34.1 / 39.2
32.0 / 29.0
Steals
5.5 / 5.8
10.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
11.3 / 11.0
11.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FOR
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +1.6
DAV
Advantage
20-14-0
(58.8%)
Margin: 4.1
ATS +/-: +0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FOR
Advantage
16-12-1
(57.1%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +1.6
DAV
13-17-2
(43.3%)
Margin: 4.1
ATS +/-: +0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
FOR
7-22-0
O: 24.1% / U: 75.9%
Total +/-: -6.8
DAV
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3%
Total +/-: -2.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAV
FOR
DAV
FOR
ML
64%
21-12
59%
19-13
58%
19-14
59%
19-13
ATS
48%
16-17
59%
19-13
58%
19-14
59%
19-13
TTL
52%
17-16
59%
19-13
100%
33-0
100%
32-0