TULANE
GREEN WAVETULN
12-6 | Road
74
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
OWLSFAU
13-6 | Home
79
AI Model Win Probability
GREEN WAVE
100%
OWLS
0%
GREEN WAVE
--
OWLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
156.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.0
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.0 points (Florida Atlantic)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FAU -22.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FAU)
TULN By 1-7 points
1.1%
TULN By 8-14 points
0.1%
FAU By 1-7 points
5.8%
FAU By 8-14 points
15.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Tulane
67
TULANE
Florida Atlantic
89
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Simulated Score
Tulane
78
TULANE
Florida Atlantic
72
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Owls
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Green Wave
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Owls (-10.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Sim
Green Wave (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o155.5
Loss
Proj Total: 156.0
D
Sim
u155.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 21, 2026
TULN @ FAU
74 - 79
Jan 4, 2026
FAU @ TULN
66 - 69
Mar 14, 2025
FAU @ TULN
76 - 83
Jan 15, 2025
FAU @ TULN
65 - 80
Mar 2, 2024
TULN @ FAU
73 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+27.8% more
Florida Atlantic: 40.5
vs
Tulane: 31.7
Blocks (L5)
+26.9% more
Florida Atlantic: 6.1
vs
Tulane: 4.8
Turnovers (L5)
+19.8% more
Florida Atlantic: 13.0
vs
Tulane: 10.8
Field Goal % (L5)
+10.4%
Florida Atlantic: 48.4%
vs
Tulane: 38.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TULN Score
67.0
74
FAU Score
89.0
79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
26.4 / 32.7
44.0 / 33.0
Assists
13.9 / 13.7
20.0 / 8.0
Blocks
6.1 / 4.8
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
48.4 / 38.1
52.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
68.3 / 77.0
59.0 / 85.0
Rebounding
40.5 / 31.7
31.0 / 30.0
Steals
7.2 / 8.1
7.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
13.0 / 10.8
11.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TULN
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: -2.7
FAU
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TULN
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: -2.7
FAU
Advantage
17-14-0
(54.8%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
TULN
13-18-1
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: -1.2
FAU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FAU
TULN
FAU
TULN
ML
64%
21-12
70%
23-10
66%
21-11
47%
15-17
ATS
70%
23-10
62%
20-12-1
66%
21-11
47%
15-17
TTL
58%
19-14
55%
18-15
100%
32-0
100%
32-0
Contextual Game News
