Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Rams @ Spiders URI @ RICH

RHODE ISLAND

RAMSURI

10-8  |  Road

69
FINAL
Wed, Jan 21 • 7:00 PM ET
Robins Center
View Odds Details →

RICHMOND

SPIDERSRICH

13-6  |  Home

68
AI Model Win Probability
RAMS
0%
📊
SPIDERS
100%
RAMS --
SPIDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
132.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-30.0
RHODE ISLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +30.0 points (Rhode Island)
RamsURI (-3.5) 0 SpidersRICH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rams Cover

99.9%

Spiders Cover

0.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around URI -30.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (URI)

URI By 1-7 points

1.1%

URI By 8-14 points

4.8%

RICH By 1-7 points

0.1%

RICH By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
81
RHODE ISLAND
51
RICHMOND
Simulated Score
65
RHODE ISLAND
72
RICHMOND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Rams Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Spiders Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Rams (-2.5) Win
Proj Spread: -30.0
D
Sim Spiders (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u142.5 Win
Proj Total: 132.0
D
Sim u142.5 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 7, 2026 RICH @ URI 77 - 82
Jan 21, 2026 URI @ RICH 69 - 68
Jan 11, 2025 URI @ RICH 67 - 64
Feb 21, 2024 RICH @ URI 85 - 77
Jan 17, 2023 URI @ RICH 57 - 64
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +35.2% more
Rhode Island: 12.8 vs Richmond: 8.3
Blocks (L5) +26.5% more
Rhode Island: 3.9 vs Richmond: 2.9
Field Goal % (L5) +5.4%
Rhode Island: 47.1% vs Richmond: 41.7%
Steals (L5) +16.3% more
Richmond: 7.1 vs Rhode Island: 6.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
URI Score 81.0 69
RICH Score 51.0 68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.0 / 32.5 36.0 / 15.0
Assists 12.7 / 12.3 14.0 / 3.0
Blocks 2.9 / 3.9 4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 41.7 / 47.1 46.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 76.3 / 64.1 58.0 / 77.0
Rebounding 34.0 / 31.1 28.0 / 38.0
Steals 7.1 / 6.1 10.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 8.3 / 12.8 13.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
14%TICKETS86%
8%MONEY92%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
21%TICKETS79%
32%MONEY68%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
30%MONEY70%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
URI Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.7 ATS +/-: -1.0
RICH
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
URI
13-18-1 (41.9%)
Margin: 1.7 ATS +/-: -1.0
RICH Advantage
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
URI
13-19-0
O: 40.6% / U: 59.4% Total +/-: -5.9
RICH
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RICH
URI
RICH
URI
ML
53% 17-15
62% 20-12
56% 18-14
59% 19-13
ATS
44% 14-18
56% 18-14
56% 18-14
59% 19-13
TTL
56% 18-14
56% 18-14
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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