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SAMFORD

BULLDOGSSAM

9-10  |  Road

78
FINAL
Wed, Jan 21 • 6:00 PM ET
Jerry Richardson Indoor Stadium
View Odds Details →

WOFFORD

TERRIERSWOF

12-7  |  Home

88
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
0%
📊
TERRIERS
100%
BULLDOGS --
TERRIERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
121.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
SAMFORD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Samford)
BulldogsSAM (-3.5) 0 TerriersWOF (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bulldogs Cover

75.8%

Terriers Cover

24.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SAM -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SAM)

SAM By 1-7 points

26.2%

SAM By 8-14 points

25.3%

WOF By 1-7 points

15.3%

WOF By 8-14 points

5.8%

AI Model Projected Score
64
SAMFORD
57
WOFFORD
Simulated Score
72
SAMFORD
75
WOFFORD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bulldogs Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Terriers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Bulldogs (-3.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Terriers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u154.5 Loss
Proj Total: 121.0
D
Sim u154.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 11, 2026 WOF @ SAM 80 - 97
Jan 21, 2026 SAM @ WOF 78 - 88
Feb 15, 2025 SAM @ WOF 76 - 68
Jan 25, 2025 WOF @ SAM 61 - 77
Feb 28, 2024 SAM @ WOF 69 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +32.2% more
Samford: 4.2 vs Wofford: 2.8
Assists (L5) +18.8% more
Samford: 16.1 vs Wofford: 13.1
Free Throw % (L5) +2.7%
Samford: 75.2% vs Wofford: 72.5%
Steals (L5) +74.2% more
Wofford: 6.8 vs Samford: 3.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SAM Score 64.0 78
WOF Score 57.0 88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.8 / 36.0 50.0 / 33.0
Assists 13.1 / 16.1 12.0 / 20.0
Blocks 2.8 / 4.2 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 45.6 / 45.4 64.0 / 49.0
Free Throw % 72.5 / 75.2 75.0 / 79.0
Rebounding 32.4 / 31.8 25.0 / 26.0
Steals 6.8 / 3.9 3.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 8.5 / 7.5 7.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
16%TICKETS84%
9%MONEY91%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
39%MONEY61%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
42%MONEY58%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SAM
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 3.6 ATS +/-: +0.3
WOF Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 1.6 ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SAM Advantage
17-12-1 (58.6%)
Margin: 3.6 ATS +/-: +0.3
WOF
15-15-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.6 ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
SAM
18-11-1
O: 62.1% / U: 37.9% Total +/-: +2.6
WOF
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +4.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WOF
SAM
WOF
SAM
ML
39% 12-19
65% 20-11
61% 19-12
68% 21-10
ATS
58% 18-13
68% 21-10
61% 19-12
68% 21-10
TTL
65% 20-11
35% 11-20
100% 31-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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