Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Hokies @ Orange VT @ SYR

VIRGINIA TECH

HOKIESVT

14-5  |  Road

76
FINAL
Wed, Jan 21 • 9:00 PM ET
JMA Wireless Dome
View Odds Details →

SYRACUSE

ORANGESYR

12-6  |  Home

74
AI Model Win Probability
HOKIES
100%
📊
ORANGE
0%
HOKIES --
ORANGE --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-31.0
SYRACUSE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +31.0 points (Syracuse)
HokiesVT (-3.5) 0 OrangeSYR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hokies Cover

0.1%

Orange Cover

99.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SYR -31.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SYR)

VT By 1-7 points

0.1%

VT By 8-14 points

0.0%

SYR By 1-7 points

0.8%

SYR By 8-14 points

4.0%

AI Model Projected Score
54
VIRGINIA TECH
85
SYRACUSE
Simulated Score
71
VIRGINIA TECH
75
SYRACUSE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Orange Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Orange Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Orange (-4.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -31.0
D
Sim Orange (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 21, 2026 VT @ SYR 76 - 74
Mar 1, 2025 SYR @ VT 95 - 101
Feb 27, 2024 VT @ SYR 71 - 84
Jan 28, 2023 SYR @ VT 70 - 85
Jan 11, 2023 VT @ SYR 72 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +127.0% more
Syracuse: 5.3 vs Virginia Tech: 2.3
Turnovers (L5) +27.3% more
Syracuse: 14.5 vs Virginia Tech: 11.4
Assists (L5) +13.7% more
Syracuse: 14.2 vs Virginia Tech: 12.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +6.7%
Syracuse: 39.0% vs Virginia Tech: 32.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
VT Score 54.0 76
SYR Score 85.0 74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.0 / 32.3 43.0 / 24.0
Assists 14.2 / 12.5 13.0 / 10.0
Blocks 5.3 / 2.3 3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 49.5 / 46.5 43.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 67.6 / 77.1 86.0 / 72.0
Rebounding 36.4 / 34.2 36.0 / 34.0
Steals 5.8 / 6.4 6.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 14.5 / 11.4 14.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
24%TICKETS76%
22%MONEY78%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
32%MONEY68%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
35%MONEY65%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
VT Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
SYR
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
VT Advantage
17-14-1 (54.8%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
SYR
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
VT
17-15-0
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9% Total +/-: +3.6
SYR
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SYR
VT
SYR
VT
ML
78% 25-7
53% 17-15
69% 22-10
72% 23-9
ATS
69% 22-10
59% 19-13
69% 22-10
72% 23-9
TTL
66% 21-11
69% 22-10
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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