Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Musketeers @ Bluejays XAV @ CREI

XAVIER

MUSKETEERSXAV

11-7  |  Road

93
FINAL
Wed, Jan 21 • 7:00 PM ET
CHI Health Center Omaha
View Odds Details →

CREIGHTON

BLUEJAYSCREI

11-8  |  Home

94
AI Model Win Probability
MUSKETEERS
0%
📊
BLUEJAYS
100%
MUSKETEERS --
BLUEJAYS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
152.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
CREIGHTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
MusketeersXAV (-3.5) 0 BluejaysCREI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Musketeers Cover

42.1%

Bluejays Cover

57.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CREI +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CREI)

XAV By 1-7 points

26.8%

XAV By 8-14 points

18.6%

CREI By 1-7 points

23.0%

CREI By 8-14 points

12.2%

AI Model Projected Score
77
XAVIER
75
CREIGHTON
Simulated Score
70
XAVIER
78
CREIGHTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Musketeers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bluejays Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bluejays (+7.5) Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim Bluejays (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u155.5 Loss
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Sim u155.5 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 21, 2026 XAV @ CREI 93 - 94
Dec 17, 2025 CREI @ XAV 98 - 57
Mar 1, 2025 CREI @ XAV 61 - 83
Jan 29, 2025 XAV @ CREI 77 - 86
Feb 10, 2024 CREI @ XAV 78 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +59.9% more
Xavier: 5.5 vs Creighton: 2.2
Assists (L5) +40.5% more
Xavier: 22.3 vs Creighton: 13.3
Steals (L5) +21.9% more
Xavier: 7.3 vs Creighton: 5.7
Rebounding (L5) +12.4% more
Xavier: 37.6 vs Creighton: 32.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
XAV Score 77.0 93
CREI Score 75.0 94
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.9 / 35.3 54.0 / 50.0
Assists 13.3 / 22.3 18.0 / 18.0
Blocks 2.2 / 5.5 2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 45.8 / 44.6 54.0 / 57.0
Free Throw % 80.1 / 74.5 71.0 / 88.0
Rebounding 32.9 / 37.6 29.0 / 30.0
Steals 5.7 / 7.3 4.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 9.0 / 9.2 9.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
14%MONEY86%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
41%MONEY59%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
75%MONEY25%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
XAV
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: -2.3 ATS +/-: -1.2
CREI Advantage
16-18-0 (47.1%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: -2.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
XAV Advantage
16-17-0 (48.5%)
Margin: -2.3 ATS +/-: -1.2
CREI
11-22-1 (33.3%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: -2.9
⚖️ Over/Under
XAV
25-8-0
O: 75.8% / U: 24.2% Total +/-: +6.0
CREI
16-18-0
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9% Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CREI
XAV
CREI
XAV
ML
52% 17-16
58% 19-14
70% 21-9
72% 23-9
ATS
58% 19-14
73% 24-9
70% 21-9
72% 23-9
TTL
52% 17-16
39% 13-20
100% 30-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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