ANAHEIM
DUCKSANA
25-21-3 | Road
2
COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
34-5-8 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Lukas Dostal
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Scott Wedgewood
#41 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Dostal | None-None | 0.92 | 0.976 | -- |
| Scott Wedgewood | None-None | 0.92 | 0.938 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
0.92
GAA
0.92
0.976 Ldr
Save %
0.938
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
DUCKS
100%
AVALANCHE
0%
DUCKS
--
AVALANCHE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around COL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
ANA By 1 goal
12.1%
ANA By 2-3 goals
9.3%
COL By 1 goal
19.7%
COL By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Anaheim
2
ANAHEIM
Colorado
3
COLORADO
Simulated Score
Anaheim
2
ANAHEIM
Colorado
5
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Avalanche
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Avalanche (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u7.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u7.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 3, 2026
COL @ ANA
5 - 1
Jan 21, 2026
ANA @ COL
2 - 1
Nov 11, 2025
ANA @ COL
1 - 4
Apr 13, 2025
COL @ ANA
4 - 2
Dec 20, 2024
COL @ ANA
4 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+37.5% more
Colorado: 38.7
vs
Anaheim: 28.1
Hits (L5)
+49.7% more
Anaheim: 26.9
vs
Colorado: 13.5
Blocked Shots (L5)
+14.1% more
Anaheim: 15.4
vs
Colorado: 13.2
Takeaways (L5)
+8.8% more
Anaheim: 5.4
vs
Colorado: 4.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ANA Score
2.0
2
COL Score
3.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.2 / 15.4
14.0 / 24.0
Faceoff %
47.8 / 49.1
55.0 / 45.0
Hits
13.5 / 26.9
16.0 / 27.0
Power Play %
1420.0 / 1339.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
38.7 / 28.1
41.0 / 17.0
Takeaways
4.9 / 5.4
9.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
ANA
COL
ANA
ML
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
ATS
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
0%
0-3
Contextual Game News
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