AI Model Win Probability
PIRATES
0%
RED STORM
100%
PIRATES
--
RED STORM
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
137.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
SETON HALL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Seton Hall)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around HALL -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HALL)
HALL By 1-7 points
12.2%
HALL By 8-14 points
23.0%
SJU By 1-7 points
3.3%
SJU By 8-14 points
0.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Seton Hall
77
SETON HALL
St. John's
60
ST. JOHN'S
Simulated Score
Seton Hall
74
SETON HALL
St. John's
82
ST. JOHN'S
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Pirates
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Storm
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Pirates (-11)
Loss
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim
Red Storm (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u143.0
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Sim
u143.0
Win
Proj Total: 156.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 13, 2026
HALL @ SJU
68 - 78
Mar 6, 2026
SJU @ HALL
72 - 65
Jan 20, 2026
HALL @ SJU
60 - 65
Mar 1, 2025
HALL @ SJU
61 - 71
Jan 18, 2025
SJU @ HALL
79 - 51
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+28.1% more
Seton Hall: 5.1
vs
St. John's: 3.7
Turnovers (L5)
+22.7% more
Seton Hall: 12.2
vs
St. John's: 9.4
Rebounding (L5)
+12.2% more
Seton Hall: 40.7
vs
St. John's: 35.7
Assists (L5)
+57.2% more
St. John's: 16.0
vs
Seton Hall: 10.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HALL Score
77.0
60
SJU Score
60.0
65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.2 / 20.7
17.0 / 38.0
Assists
16.0 / 10.2
14.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.7 / 5.1
3.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
49.1 / 39.1
36.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
74.0 / 69.5
70.0 / 55.0
Rebounding
35.7 / 40.7
41.0 / 41.0
Steals
8.3 / 7.1
8.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
9.4 / 12.2
12.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HALL
21-12-0
(63.6%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: +1.6
SJU
Advantage
30-7-0
(81.1%)
Margin: 11.3
ATS +/-: +1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HALL
19-14-0
(57.6%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: +1.6
SJU
Advantage
22-13-1
(62.9%)
Margin: 11.3
ATS +/-: +1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
HALL
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: -3.3
SJU
13-23-0
O: 36.1% / U: 63.9%
Total +/-: -3.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SJU
HALL
SJU
HALL
ML
62%
18-11
41%
13-19
62%
18-11
60%
18-12
ATS
66%
19-10
50%
16-16
62%
18-11
60%
18-12
TTL
59%
17-12
53%
17-15
100%
29-0
100%
30-0