PHOENIX
SUNSPHX
26-17 | Road
116
PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
23-18 | Home
110
AI Model Win Probability
SUNS
100%
76ERS
0%
SUNS
--
76ERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
231.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Philadelphia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PHI -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
PHX By 1-7 points
24.3%
PHX By 8-14 points
13.7%
PHI By 1-7 points
26.2%
PHI By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Phoenix
115
PHOENIX
Philadelphia
116
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Phoenix
114
PHOENIX
Philadelphia
118
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
76ers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
76ers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
76ers (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
76ers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o223.0
Win
Proj Total: 231.0
D
Sim
u223.0
Win
Proj Total: 232.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 7, 2026
PHI @ PHX
109 - 103
Jan 20, 2026
PHX @ PHI
116 - 110
Jan 6, 2025
PHX @ PHI
109 - 99
Nov 4, 2024
PHI @ PHX
116 - 118
Mar 20, 2024
PHI @ PHX
102 - 115
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+50.3% more
Philadelphia: 12.3
vs
Phoenix: 8.2
Blocks (L5)
+43.5% more
Philadelphia: 6.0
vs
Phoenix: 4.2
Turnovers (L5)
+9.7% more
Phoenix: 13.2
vs
Philadelphia: 11.9
Assists (L5)
+8.9% more
Phoenix: 25.2
vs
Philadelphia: 23.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHX Score
115.0
116
PHI Score
116.0
110
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.3 / 40.4
32.0 / 41.0
Assists
23.0 / 25.2
20.0 / 25.0
Blocks
6.0 / 4.2
6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
46.8 / 47.2
42.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
80.4 / 79.2
78.0 / 100.0
Rebounding
40.0 / 39.8
49.0 / 42.0
Steals
12.3 / 8.2
12.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
11.9 / 13.2
19.0 / 22.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHX
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHX
Advantage
50-38-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
PHX
40-48-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -1.6
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
PHX
PHI
PHX
ML
63%
69-40
57%
60-45
48%
45-48
51%
45-43
ATS
65%
71-38
58%
59-43-3
48%
45-48
51%
45-43
TTL
55%
60-49
59%
61-42-2
100%
93-0
100%
88-0
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