NEW JERSEY
DEVILSNJ
25-22-2 | Road
2
EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
25-17-8 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jake Allen
#34 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Tristan Jarry
#35 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Allen | None-None | 1.00 | 0.957 | -- |
| Tristan Jarry | None-None | 2.05 | 0.882 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.00 Ldr
GAA
2.05
0.957 Ldr
Save %
0.882
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
DEVILS
100%
OILERS
0%
DEVILS
--
OILERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Edmonton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around EDM -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)
NJ By 1 goal
12.1%
NJ By 2-3 goals
9.3%
EDM By 1 goal
19.7%
EDM By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
New Jersey
2
NEW JERSEY
Edmonton
3
EDMONTON
Simulated Score
New Jersey
3
NEW JERSEY
Edmonton
5
EDMONTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Oilers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Oilers
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Oilers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Oilers (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 20, 2026
NJ @ EDM
2 - 1
Oct 18, 2025
EDM @ NJ
3 - 5
Mar 13, 2025
EDM @ NJ
2 - 3
Nov 4, 2024
NJ @ EDM
3 - 0
Dec 21, 2023
EDM @ NJ
6 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+13.4% more
Edmonton: 14.8
vs
New Jersey: 13.0
Power Play % (L5)
+10.4%
Edmonton: 27.0%
vs
New Jersey: 16.7%
Hits (L5)
+14.4% more
New Jersey: 18.0
vs
Edmonton: 15.4
Takeaways (L5)
+13.4% more
New Jersey: 4.3
vs
Edmonton: 3.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NJ Score
2.0
2
EDM Score
3.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.8 / 13.0
12.0 / 12.0
Faceoff %
48.0 / 57.7
61.4 / 38.6
Hits
15.4 / 18.0
17.0 / 14.0
Power Play %
2701.0 / 1666.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
31.6 / 29.9
23.0 / 17.0
Takeaways
3.8 / 4.3
3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EDM
NJ
EDM
NJ
ML
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
ATS
75%
3-1
0%
0-3
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
TTL
25%
1-3
0%
0-2-1
25%
1-3
50%
1-1-1
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