MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
28-13-9 | Road
3
MONTREAL
CANADIENSMTL
27-15-7 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jesper Wallstedt
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jakub Dobes
#75 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesper Wallstedt | None-None | 4.07 | 0.879 | -- |
| Jakub Dobes | None-None | 3.00 | 0.850 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.07
GAA
Ldr 3.00
0.879 Ldr
Save %
0.850
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
WILD
0%
CANADIENS
100%
WILD
--
CANADIENS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
MONTREAL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around MTL +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MTL)
MIN By 1 goal
19.7%
MIN By 2-3 goals
29.6%
MTL By 1 goal
12.1%
MTL By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
3
MINNESOTA
Montreal
2
MONTREAL
Simulated Score
Minnesota
2
MINNESOTA
Montreal
4
MONTREAL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Wild
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Canadiens
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Canadiens (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim
Canadiens (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 2, 2026
MTL @ MIN
3 - 4
Jan 20, 2026
MIN @ MTL
3 - 4
Jan 30, 2025
MIN @ MTL
4 - 0
Nov 14, 2024
MTL @ MIN
0 - 3
Dec 21, 2023
MTL @ MIN
3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+28.1% more
Minnesota: 34.2
vs
Montreal: 24.6
Takeaways (L5)
+12.4% more
Minnesota: 5.2
vs
Montreal: 4.5
Blocked Shots (L5)
+78.4% more
Montreal: 20.9
vs
Minnesota: 11.7
Hits (L5)
+23.4% more
Montreal: 25.4
vs
Minnesota: 20.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
3.0
3
MTL Score
2.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
20.9 / 11.7
12.0 / 22.0
Faceoff %
53.3 / 48.0
51.7 / 48.3
Hits
25.4 / 20.6
18.0 / 17.0
Power Play %
38.7 / 35.9
0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
24.6 / 34.2
33.0 / 19.0
Takeaways
4.5 / 5.2
5.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MTL
MIN
MTL
MIN
ML
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
ATS
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
100%
4-0
50%
2-2
TTL
25%
1-3
100%
4-0
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
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