BUFFALO
SABRESBUF
26-17-5 | Road
5
NASHVILLE
PREDATORSNSH
23-21-4 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Alex Lyon
#34 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Juuse Saros
#74 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Lyon | None-None | 3.00 | 0.912 | -- |
| Juuse Saros | None-None | 10.04 | 0.789 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.00 Ldr
GAA
10.04
0.912 Ldr
Save %
0.789
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SABRES
100%
PREDATORS
0%
SABRES
--
PREDATORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
NASHVILLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Nashville)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NSH -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NSH)
BUF By 1 goal
6.6%
BUF By 2-3 goals
3.7%
NSH By 1 goal
17.5%
NSH By 2-3 goals
37.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Buffalo
1
BUFFALO
Nashville
3
NASHVILLE
Simulated Score
Buffalo
2
BUFFALO
Nashville
4
NASHVILLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Predators
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Predators
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Predators (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim
Predators (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
NSH @ BUF
2 - 3
Jan 20, 2026
BUF @ NSH
5 - 3
Feb 8, 2025
BUF @ NSH
4 - 6
Jan 31, 2025
NSH @ BUF
3 - 4
Mar 7, 2024
BUF @ NSH
2 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+30.0% more
Nashville: 28.4
vs
Buffalo: 21.9
Power Play % (L5)
+20.4%
Nashville: 38.2%
vs
Buffalo: 17.8%
Takeaways (L5)
+20.2% more
Nashville: 6.0
vs
Buffalo: 5.0
Faceoff % (L5)
+8.8%
Nashville: 54.4%
vs
Buffalo: 45.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BUF Score
1.0
5
NSH Score
3.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.1 / 12.9
8.0 / 19.0
Faceoff %
54.4 / 45.6
55.0 / 45.0
Hits
17.0 / 22.2
27.0 / 17.0
Power Play %
3817.0 / 1778.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
28.4 / 21.9
34.0 / 32.0
Takeaways
6.0 / 5.0
6.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NSH
BUF
NSH
BUF
ML
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
ATS
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
100%
3-0
TTL
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
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