BOISE STATE
BRONCOSBOIS
10-8 | Road
81
WYOMING
COWBOYSWYO
11-7 | Home
65
AI Model Win Probability
BRONCOS
100%
COWBOYS
0%
BRONCOS
--
COWBOYS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
175.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-43.0
WYOMING
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +43.0 points (Wyoming)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WYO -43.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WYO)
BOIS By 1-7 points
0.0%
BOIS By 8-14 points
0.0%
WYO By 1-7 points
0.0%
WYO By 8-14 points
0.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Boise State
66
BOISE STATE
Wyoming
109
WYOMING
Simulated Score
Boise State
68
BOISE STATE
Wyoming
75
WYOMING
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cowboys
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cowboys
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cowboys (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -43.0
D
Sim
Cowboys (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o145.5
Win
Proj Total: 175.0
D
Sim
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 24, 2026
WYO @ BOIS
62 - 72
Jan 20, 2026
BOIS @ WYO
81 - 65
Jan 14, 2025
WYO @ BOIS
55 - 96
Dec 31, 2024
BOIS @ WYO
67 - 58
Feb 24, 2024
BOIS @ WYO
92 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.6%
Wyoming: 79.8%
vs
Boise State: 77.2%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+1.5%
Wyoming: 31.8%
vs
Boise State: 30.3%
Steals (L5)
+33.1% more
Boise State: 6.7
vs
Wyoming: 4.5
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.7%
Boise State: 43.8%
vs
Wyoming: 42.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOIS Score
66.0
81
WYO Score
109.0
65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.8 / 30.3
26.0 / 38.0
Assists
12.6 / 12.3
8.0 / 14.0
Blocks
2.6 / 2.6
1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
42.1 / 43.8
45.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
79.8 / 77.2
78.0 / 100.0
Rebounding
33.7 / 32.2
28.0 / 30.0
Steals
4.5 / 6.7
3.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
12.1 / 12.8
11.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BOIS
Advantage
20-12-0
(62.5%)
Margin: 4.7
ATS +/-: -1.2
WYO
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BOIS
Advantage
17-13-0
(56.7%)
Margin: 4.7
ATS +/-: -1.2
WYO
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
BOIS
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: +3.8
WYO
16-16-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WYO
BOIS
WYO
BOIS
ML
52%
17-16
50%
16-16
70%
23-10
61%
19-12
ATS
64%
21-12
50%
16-16
70%
23-10
61%
19-12
TTL
64%
21-12
56%
18-14
100%
33-0
100%
31-0
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