DEPAUL
BLUE DEMONSDEP
11-7 | Road
80
BUTLER
BULLDOGSBUT
11-7 | Home
87
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE DEMONS
100%
BULLDOGS
0%
BLUE DEMONS
--
BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
126.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
BUTLER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (Butler)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BUT -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BUT)
DEP By 1-7 points
0.2%
DEP By 8-14 points
0.0%
BUT By 1-7 points
1.7%
BUT By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
DePaul
49
DEPAUL
Butler
77
BUTLER
Simulated Score
DePaul
65
DEPAUL
Butler
78
BUTLER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulldogs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs (-7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -28.0
D
Sim
Bulldogs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u147.5
Loss
Proj Total: 126.0
D
Sim
u147.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
BUT @ DEP
81 - 71
Jan 20, 2026
DEP @ BUT
80 - 87
Feb 22, 2025
BUT @ DEP
84 - 72
Jan 25, 2025
DEP @ BUT
69 - 86
Mar 2, 2024
BUT @ DEP
82 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+16.5%
Butler: 80.4%
vs
DePaul: 64.0%
Steals (L5)
+12.5% more
Butler: 6.3
vs
DePaul: 5.6
Assists (L5)
+16.6% more
DePaul: 15.8
vs
Butler: 13.1
Blocks (L5)
+10.5% more
DePaul: 3.4
vs
Butler: 3.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DEP Score
49.0
80
BUT Score
77.0
87
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.5 / 36.9
47.0 / 30.0
Assists
13.1 / 15.8
18.0 / 14.0
Blocks
3.1 / 3.4
4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
44.5 / 45.1
57.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
80.4 / 64.0
68.0 / 86.0
Rebounding
33.3 / 35.7
31.0 / 29.0
Steals
6.3 / 5.6
7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
12.0 / 11.8
12.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DEP
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.5
BUT
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DEP
Advantage
18-12-2
(60.0%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.5
BUT
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
DEP
11-21-0
O: 34.4% / U: 65.6%
Total +/-: -5.1
BUT
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUT
DEP
BUT
DEP
ML
62%
20-12
59%
19-13
65%
20-11
80%
24-6
ATS
56%
18-14
50%
16-16
65%
20-11
80%
24-6
TTL
50%
16-16
53%
17-15
100%
31-0
100%
30-0
Contextual Game News
Kansas Shakes Up Offensive Line: Amir Herring Promoted to Starti…
Aden Holloway Reinstated to Alabama Basketball Roster, Suspended…
Duke Dominates ACC Preseason Poll, But Wide-Open Race Looms Behi…
Kansas Jayhawks Set Program Record with 706 Yards, Blank Middle …
UCLA's Unlikely Heroes: TaShawn James, Jalen Woods, and Semaj Mo…