Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Huskies @ Bobcats NIU @ OHIO

NORTHERN ILLINOIS

HUSKIESNIU

6-11  |  Road

77
FINAL
Tue, Jan 20 • 7:00 PM ET
Convocation Center (OH)
View Odds Details →

OHIO

BOBCATSOHIO

10-9  |  Home

80
AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
0%
📊
BOBCATS
100%
HUSKIES --
BOBCATS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
179.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
OHIO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
HuskiesNIU (-3.5) 0 BobcatsOHIO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Huskies Cover

46.0%

Bobcats Cover

54.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around OHIO +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OHIO)

NIU By 1-7 points

26.2%

NIU By 8-14 points

16.9%

OHIO By 1-7 points

24.3%

OHIO By 8-14 points

13.7%

AI Model Projected Score
90
NORTHERN ILLINOIS
89
OHIO
Simulated Score
68
NORTHERN ILLINOIS
75
OHIO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Huskies Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bobcats Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bobcats (+12.5) Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim Bobcats (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o154.5 Win
Proj Total: 179.0
D
Sim u154.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 21, 2026 OHIO @ NIU 74 - 66
Jan 20, 2026 NIU @ OHIO 77 - 80
Jan 11, 2025 NIU @ OHIO 70 - 108
Feb 24, 2024 OHIO @ NIU 80 - 59
Jan 6, 2024 NIU @ OHIO 66 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +34.2% more
Northern Illinois: 8.7 vs Ohio: 5.7
Turnovers (L5) +20.0% more
Northern Illinois: 16.0 vs Ohio: 12.8
Rebounding (L5) +16.8% more
Northern Illinois: 38.9 vs Ohio: 32.4
Assists (L5) +10.0% more
Northern Illinois: 12.8 vs Ohio: 11.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NIU Score 90.0 77
OHIO Score 89.0 80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.3 / 27.3 42.0 / 45.0
Assists 11.5 / 12.8 12.0 / 8.0
Blocks 3.1 / 2.1 7.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 50.0 / 38.4 50.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 73.2 / 66.4 72.0 / 74.0
Rebounding 32.4 / 38.9 28.0 / 32.0
Steals 5.7 / 8.7 4.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 12.8 / 16.0 14.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
21%MONEY79%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
30%MONEY70%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
81%MONEY19%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NIU
9-21-0 (30.0%)
Margin: -8.3 ATS +/-: -3.1
OHIO Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NIU Advantage
13-15-0 (46.4%)
Margin: -8.3 ATS +/-: -3.1
OHIO
12-18-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
NIU
8-20-0
O: 28.6% / U: 71.4% Total +/-: -4.8
OHIO
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OHIO
NIU
OHIO
NIU
ML
65% 20-11
67% 20-10
63% 19-11
66% 19-10
ATS
68% 21-10
63% 19-11
63% 19-11
66% 19-10
TTL
61% 19-12
67% 20-10
100% 30-0
100% 29-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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