AKRON
ZIPSAKR
14-4 | Road
82
BUFFALO
BULLSBUF
13-5 | Home
63
AI Model Win Probability
ZIPS
100%
BULLS
0%
ZIPS
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
BUFFALO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Buffalo)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BUF -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BUF)
AKR By 1-7 points
3.3%
AKR By 8-14 points
0.6%
BUF By 1-7 points
12.2%
BUF By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Akron
66
AKRON
Buffalo
83
BUFFALO
Simulated Score
Akron
67
AKRON
Buffalo
73
BUFFALO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulls
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulls
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulls (+7.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim
Bulls (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u167.5
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim
u167.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 12, 2026
BUF @ AKR
70 - 73
Feb 24, 2026
BUF @ AKR
85 - 99
Jan 20, 2026
AKR @ BUF
82 - 63
Mar 7, 2025
BUF @ AKR
70 - 88
Jan 21, 2025
AKR @ BUF
90 - 58
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+25.8% more
Akron: 3.1
vs
Buffalo: 2.3
Assists (L5)
+15.4% more
Akron: 19.9
vs
Buffalo: 16.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.9%
Akron: 83.6%
vs
Buffalo: 76.7%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.0%
Akron: 51.5%
vs
Buffalo: 49.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
AKR Score
66.0
82
BUF Score
83.0
63
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
42.8 / 42.0
25.0 / 40.0
Assists
16.8 / 19.9
15.0 / 21.0
Blocks
2.3 / 3.1
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
49.5 / 51.5
35.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
76.7 / 83.6
69.0 / 74.0
Rebounding
32.0 / 34.6
39.0 / 40.0
Steals
8.4 / 8.4
6.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
11.2 / 10.6
13.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
AKR
Advantage
29-6-0
(82.9%)
Margin: 13.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
BUF
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: +1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
AKR
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 13.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
BUF
Advantage
18-12-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: +1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
AKR
15-17-1
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: +0.2
BUF
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +2.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUF
AKR
BUF
AKR
ML
45%
14-17
71%
24-10
45%
14-17
65%
22-12
ATS
55%
17-14
76%
26-8
45%
14-17
65%
22-12
TTL
48%
15-16
59%
20-14
100%
31-0
100%
34-0
Contextual Game News
Colorado Buffaloes Playbook Left in Hotel Bar, Found by Texas Te…
Chicago Bulls Open Training Camp with New Regime and Roster Batt…
Quanell Farrakhan Jr. Faces Critical Moment as Colorado Buffaloe…
Norman Powell Unveils His Ultimate UCLA Starting Five
Deion Sanders Blames Personnel, Not Scheme, for Colorado's Speci…