EVANSVILLE
PURPLE ACESEVAN
5-14 | Road
49
UIC
FLAMESUIC
9-10 | Home
76
AI Model Win Probability
PURPLE ACES
0%
FLAMES
100%
PURPLE ACES
--
FLAMES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
157.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-31.0
EVANSVILLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +31.0 points (Evansville)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around EVAN -31.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EVAN)
EVAN By 1-7 points
0.8%
EVAN By 8-14 points
4.0%
UIC By 1-7 points
0.1%
UIC By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Evansville
94
EVANSVILLE
UIC
63
UIC
Simulated Score
Evansville
66
EVANSVILLE
UIC
77
UIC
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Purple Aces
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flames
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Purple Aces (-8.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -31.0
D
Sim
Flames (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o138.5
Loss
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Sim
u138.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 18, 2026
UIC @ EVAN
84 - 46
Jan 20, 2026
EVAN @ UIC
49 - 76
Feb 22, 2025
EVAN @ UIC
77 - 82
Jan 22, 2025
UIC @ EVAN
78 - 67
Feb 21, 2024
EVAN @ UIC
79 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+33.2% more
Evansville: 15.2
vs
UIC: 10.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+10.9%
Evansville: 78.7%
vs
UIC: 67.8%
Assists (L5)
+8.8% more
Evansville: 14.9
vs
UIC: 13.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.0%
Evansville: 33.6%
vs
UIC: 29.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EVAN Score
94.0
49
UIC Score
63.0
76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.6 / 33.6
27.0 / 22.0
Assists
13.6 / 14.9
19.0 / 12.0
Blocks
3.8 / 3.6
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
43.9 / 47.2
50.0 / 30.0
Free Throw %
67.8 / 78.7
60.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
37.7 / 32.9
36.0 / 33.0
Steals
5.8 / 5.0
15.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
10.1 / 15.2
9.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EVAN
Advantage
7-25-0
(21.9%)
Margin: -9.5
ATS +/-: -3.8
UIC
--
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EVAN
Advantage
14-16-0
(46.7%)
Margin: -9.5
ATS +/-: -3.8
UIC
--
⚖️ Over/Under
EVAN
16-13-1
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8%
Total +/-: +2.3
UIC
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UIC
EVAN
UIC
EVAN
ML
57%
20-15
56%
18-14
44%
15-19
62%
20-12
ATS
54%
19-16
66%
21-11
44%
15-19
62%
20-12
TTL
60%
21-14
62%
20-12
100%
34-0
100%
32-0
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