LOYOLA CHICAGO
RAMBLERSLUC
5-14 | Road
70
ST. BONAVENTURE
BONNIESSBU
11-7 | Home
84
AI Model Win Probability
RAMBLERS
100%
BONNIES
0%
RAMBLERS
--
BONNIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
157.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-55.0
ST. BONAVENTURE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +55.0 points (St. Bonaventure)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SBU -55.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SBU)
LUC By 1-7 points
0.0%
LUC By 8-14 points
0.0%
SBU By 1-7 points
0.0%
SBU By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Loyola Chicago
51
LOYOLA CHICAGO
St. Bonaventure
106
ST. BONAVENTURE
Simulated Score
Loyola Chicago
68
LOYOLA CHICAGO
St. Bonaventure
72
ST. BONAVENTURE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bonnies
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bonnies
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bonnies (-10.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -55.0
D
Sim
Bonnies (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o147.5
Win
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Sim
u147.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 20, 2026
LUC @ SBU
70 - 84
Feb 4, 2025
SBU @ LUC
53 - 77
Mar 14, 2024
SBU @ LUC
75 - 74
Feb 27, 2024
LUC @ SBU
64 - 79
Jan 21, 2023
SBU @ LUC
55 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+82.7% more
St. Bonaventure: 7.6
vs
Loyola Chicago: 4.2
Assists (L5)
+22.1% more
St. Bonaventure: 17.1
vs
Loyola Chicago: 14.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+12.8%
St. Bonaventure: 71.1%
vs
Loyola Chicago: 58.3%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+10.2%
St. Bonaventure: 36.8%
vs
Loyola Chicago: 26.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LUC Score
51.0
70
SBU Score
106.0
84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.8 / 26.6
42.0 / 38.0
Assists
17.1 / 14.0
18.0 / 18.0
Blocks
3.3 / 4.0
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
46.2 / 41.5
43.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
71.1 / 58.3
95.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
31.2 / 36.2
31.0 / 38.0
Steals
7.6 / 4.2
12.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
10.4 / 15.4
4.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LUC
9-24-0
(27.3%)
Margin: -9.0
ATS +/-: -4.7
SBU
Advantage
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: -2.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LUC
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: -9.0
ATS +/-: -4.7
SBU
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: -2.3
⚖️ Over/Under
LUC
14-19-0
O: 42.4% / U: 57.6%
Total +/-: -1.9
SBU
20-13-0
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4%
Total +/-: +5.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SBU
LUC
SBU
LUC
ML
59%
20-14
55%
18-15
61%
20-13
50%
16-16
ATS
50%
17-17
64%
21-12
61%
20-13
50%
16-16
TTL
38%
13-21
76%
25-8
100%
33-0
100%
32-0
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