Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Golden Gophers @ Buckeyes MINN @ OSU

MINNESOTA

GOLDEN GOPHERSMINN

10-8  |  Road

74
FINAL
Tue, Jan 20 • 6:30 PM ET
Value City Arena
View Odds Details →

OHIO STATE

BUCKEYESOSU

12-5  |  Home

82
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN GOPHERS
0%
📊
BUCKEYES
100%
GOLDEN GOPHERS --
BUCKEYES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-26.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +26.0 points (Minnesota)
Golden GophersMINN (-3.5) 0 BuckeyesOSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Gophers Cover

99.5%

Buckeyes Cover

0.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MINN -26.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MINN)

MINN By 1-7 points

2.7%

MINN By 8-14 points

9.3%

OSU By 1-7 points

0.4%

OSU By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
84
MINNESOTA
58
OHIO STATE
Simulated Score
70
MINNESOTA
77
OHIO STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Golden Gophers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Buckeyes Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Golden Gophers (-8.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -26.0
D
Sim Buckeyes (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u143.5 Loss
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim u143.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 20, 2026 MINN @ OSU 74 - 82
Jan 6, 2025 OSU @ MINN 89 - 88
Feb 22, 2024 OSU @ MINN 79 - 88
Dec 3, 2023 MINN @ OSU 74 - 84
Jan 12, 2023 MINN @ OSU 70 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +47.2% more
Minnesota: 6.5 vs Ohio State: 3.5
Assists (L5) +23.4% more
Minnesota: 18.5 vs Ohio State: 14.2
Blocks (L5) +53.3% more
Ohio State: 3.5 vs Minnesota: 2.3
Turnovers (L5) +26.7% more
Ohio State: 10.5 vs Minnesota: 8.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MINN Score 84.0 74
OSU Score 58.0 82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.7 / 32.2 29.0 / 30.0
Assists 14.2 / 18.5 11.0 / 13.0
Blocks 3.5 / 2.3 3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 48.6 / 45.0 48.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 81.1 / 79.1 72.0 / 80.0
Rebounding 36.8 / 30.7 42.0 / 31.0
Steals 3.5 / 6.5 6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 10.5 / 8.3 10.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
13%MONEY87%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
54%MONEY46%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
80%MONEY20%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MINN
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: -1.1
OSU Advantage
21-13-0 (61.8%)
Margin: 6.7 ATS +/-: +1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MINN
14-18-1 (43.8%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: -1.1
OSU Advantage
17-16-1 (51.5%)
Margin: 6.7 ATS +/-: +1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
MINN
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6% Total +/-: -3.9
OSU
16-18-0
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9% Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OSU
MINN
OSU
MINN
ML
53% 18-16
48% 16-17
73% 24-9
71% 22-9
ATS
59% 20-14
55% 18-15
73% 24-9
71% 22-9
TTL
56% 19-15
52% 17-16
100% 33-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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