BOSTON
BRUINSBOS
28-19-2 | Road
2
DALLAS
STARSDAL
27-13-9 | Home
6
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jeremy Swayman
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jake Oettinger
#29 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman | None-None | 7.72 | 0.824 | -- |
| Jake Oettinger | None-None | 2.00 | 0.889 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
7.72
GAA
Ldr 2.00
0.824
Save %
Ldr 0.889
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
0%
STARS
100%
BRUINS
--
STARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around DAL +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)
BOS By 1 goal
19.7%
BOS By 2-3 goals
29.6%
DAL By 1 goal
12.1%
DAL By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
3
BOSTON
Dallas
2
DALLAS
Simulated Score
Boston
2
BOSTON
Dallas
3
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bruins
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Stars
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Stars (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim
Stars (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 31, 2026
DAL @ BOS
3 - 6
Jan 20, 2026
BOS @ DAL
2 - 6
Nov 14, 2024
BOS @ DAL
2 - 7
Oct 24, 2024
DAL @ BOS
5 - 2
Feb 19, 2024
DAL @ BOS
3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+37.2% more
Boston: 6.5
vs
Dallas: 4.1
Power Play % (L5)
+36.2%
Boston: 49.6%
vs
Dallas: 13.4%
Hits (L5)
+15.3% more
Boston: 20.4
vs
Dallas: 17.3
Shots on Goal (L5)
+13.5% more
Boston: 26.9
vs
Dallas: 23.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
3.0
2
DAL Score
2.0
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.9 / 13.4
12.0 / 17.0
Faceoff %
50.3 / 54.0
65.0 / 35.0
Hits
17.3 / 20.4
13.0 / 35.0
Power Play %
13.4 / 49.6
66.7 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
23.2 / 26.9
37.0 / 18.0
Takeaways
4.1 / 6.5
8.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
BOS
DAL
BOS
ML
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
ATS
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
TTL
100%
3-0
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
0%
0-4
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