OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
22-19-7 | Road
4
COLUMBUS
BLUE JACKETSCBJ
22-19-7 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Artem Zub
#2 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Elvis Merzlikins
#90 | G| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artem Zub | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Elvis Merzlikins | None-None | 6.00 | 0.714 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
6.00
--
Save %
0.714
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SENATORS
100%
BLUE JACKETS
0%
SENATORS
--
BLUE JACKETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
COLUMBUS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Columbus)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CBJ -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CBJ)
OTT By 1 goal
12.1%
OTT By 2-3 goals
9.3%
CBJ By 1 goal
19.7%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Ottawa
2
OTTAWA
Columbus
3
COLUMBUS
Simulated Score
Ottawa
4
OTTAWA
Columbus
3
COLUMBUS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Blue Jackets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Senators
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Blue Jackets (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Senators (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 20, 2026
OTT @ CBJ
4 - 1
Dec 29, 2025
CBJ @ OTT
4 - 1
Dec 11, 2025
OTT @ CBJ
6 - 3
Apr 8, 2025
OTT @ CBJ
2 - 5
Apr 6, 2025
CBJ @ OTT
0 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+42.9% more
Columbus: 19.0
vs
Ottawa: 13.3
Takeaways (L5)
+41.6% more
Columbus: 6.1
vs
Ottawa: 4.3
Shots on Goal (L5)
+11.6% more
Columbus: 32.1
vs
Ottawa: 28.7
Power Play % (L5)
+10.4%
Ottawa: 43.1%
vs
Columbus: 32.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OTT Score
2.0
4
CBJ Score
3.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
19.0 / 13.3
13.0 / 14.0
Faceoff %
47.8 / 51.1
40.4 / 59.6
Hits
21.2 / 23.2
27.0 / 15.0
Power Play %
3272.0 / 4313.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
32.1 / 28.7
22.0 / 21.0
Takeaways
6.1 / 4.3
3.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CBJ
OTT
CBJ
OTT
ML
50%
1-1
0%
0-3
100%
2-0
67%
2-1
ATS
50%
1-1
0%
0-3
50%
1-1
67%
2-1
TTL
50%
1-1
67%
2-1
0%
0-2
67%
2-1
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