Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Wildcats @ Golden Lions BCU @ UAPB

BETHUNE-COOKMAN

WILDCATSBCU

6-11  |  Road

87
FINAL
Mon, Jan 19 • 6:30 PM ET
H.O. Clemmons Arena
View Odds Details →

ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF

GOLDEN LIONSUAPB

6-12  |  Home

82
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
100%
📊
GOLDEN LIONS
0%
WILDCATS --
GOLDEN LIONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
195.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Arkansas-Pine Bluff)
WildcatsBCU (-3.5) 0 Golden LionsUAPB (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wildcats Cover

46.0%

Golden Lions Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UAPB -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UAPB)

BCU By 1-7 points

24.3%

BCU By 8-14 points

13.7%

UAPB By 1-7 points

26.2%

UAPB By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
97
BETHUNE-COOKMAN
98
ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF
Simulated Score
70
BETHUNE-COOKMAN
77
ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Golden Lions Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Lions Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Golden Lions (+2) Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Golden Lions (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o154.5 Win
Proj Total: 195.0
D
Sim u154.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 19, 2026 BCU @ UAPB 87 - 82
Jan 20, 2025 UAPB @ BCU 64 - 73
Jan 22, 2024 BCU @ UAPB 72 - 76
Jan 16, 2023 UAPB @ BCU 77 - 71
Jan 17, 2022 BCU @ UAPB 63 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +21.5% more
Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 6.6 vs Bethune-Cookman: 5.5
Free Throw % (L5) +4.4%
Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 75.2% vs Bethune-Cookman: 70.8%
Blocks (L5) +34.0% more
Bethune-Cookman: 5.4 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 3.5
Turnovers (L5) +13.2% more
Bethune-Cookman: 15.0 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 13.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BCU Score 97.0 87
UAPB Score 98.0 82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.5 / 39.8 31.0 / 23.0
Assists 15.3 / 15.9 18.0 / 13.0
Blocks 3.5 / 5.4 3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 45.1 / 49.8 50.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 75.2 / 70.8 70.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 33.2 / 33.6 29.0 / 41.0
Steals 6.6 / 5.5 11.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 13.1 / 15.0 17.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BCU Advantage
17-15-0 (53.1%)
Margin: -1.6 ATS +/-: -0.6
UAPB
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: -3.8 ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BCU Advantage
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: -1.6 ATS +/-: -0.6
UAPB
13-16-1 (44.8%)
Margin: -3.8 ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
BCU
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9% Total +/-: +2.3
UAPB
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: -0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UAPB
BCU
UAPB
BCU
ML
74% 23-8
68% 21-10
73% 19-7
79% 22-6
ATS
73% 22-8-1
65% 20-11
73% 19-7
79% 22-6
TTL
68% 21-10
48% 15-16
100% 26-0
100% 28-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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