AI Model Win Probability
COWBOYS
0%
ISLANDERS
100%
COWBOYS
--
ISLANDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
138.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+4.0
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around AMCC +4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AMCC)
MCN By 1-7 points
27.4%
MCN By 8-14 points
21.6%
AMCC By 1-7 points
20.1%
AMCC By 8-14 points
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
McNeese
71
MCNEESE
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
67
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
Simulated Score
McNeese
75
MCNEESE
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
70
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cowboys
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cowboys
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Islanders (+8.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +4.0
D
Sim
Cowboys (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u140.5
Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Sim
u140.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 21, 2026
AMCC @ MCN
54 - 70
Jan 19, 2026
MCN @ AMCC
69 - 53
Feb 22, 2025
AMCC @ MCN
57 - 73
Jan 27, 2025
MCN @ AMCC
74 - 73
Feb 10, 2024
AMCC @ MCN
67 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+19.8% more
McNeese: 13.7
vs
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 11.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+12.8%
McNeese: 80.1%
vs
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 67.3%
Turnovers (L5)
+60.8% more
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 14.2
vs
McNeese: 8.8
Blocks (L5)
+21.5% more
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 5.4
vs
McNeese: 4.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MCN Score
71.0
69
AMCC Score
67.0
53
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.9 / 31.1
21.0 / 23.0
Assists
11.0 / 13.7
6.0 / 6.0
Blocks
5.4 / 4.4
2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
46.5 / 45.0
41.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
67.3 / 80.1
67.0 / 69.0
Rebounding
34.9 / 35.4
19.0 / 39.0
Steals
7.9 / 8.5
4.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
14.2 / 8.8
12.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MCN
Advantage
28-6-0
(82.4%)
Margin: 12.9
ATS +/-: -0.2
AMCC
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 4.8
ATS +/-: +1.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MCN
14-16-1
(46.7%)
Margin: 12.9
ATS +/-: -0.2
AMCC
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: 4.8
ATS +/-: +1.7
⚖️ Over/Under
MCN
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: -1.6
AMCC
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
AMCC
MCN
AMCC
MCN
ML
70%
21-9
67%
22-11
67%
18-9
88%
28-4
ATS
67%
20-10
76%
25-8
67%
18-9
88%
28-4
TTL
60%
18-12
42%
14-19
100%
27-0
100%
32-0