Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Aggies @ Pirates NCAT @ HAMP

NORTH CAROLINA A&T

AGGIESNCAT

7-9  |  Road

61
FINAL
Mon, Jan 19 • 9:00 PM ET
Convocation Center (VA)
View Odds Details →

HAMPTON

PIRATESHAMP

8-10  |  Home

82
AI Model Win Probability
AGGIES
0%
📊
PIRATES
100%
AGGIES --
PIRATES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
159.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
NORTH CAROLINA A&T
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (North Carolina A&T)
AggiesNCAT (-3.5) 0 PiratesHAMP (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Aggies Cover

75.8%

Pirates Cover

24.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NCAT -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NCAT)

NCAT By 1-7 points

26.2%

NCAT By 8-14 points

25.3%

HAMP By 1-7 points

15.3%

HAMP By 8-14 points

5.8%

AI Model Projected Score
83
NORTH CAROLINA A&T
76
HAMPTON
Simulated Score
68
NORTH CAROLINA A&T
72
HAMPTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Aggies Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Pirates Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Aggies (-7) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Pirates (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o143.0 Push
Proj Total: 159.0
D
Sim u143.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 13, 2026 HAMP @ NCAT 70 - 71
Jan 19, 2026 NCAT @ HAMP 61 - 82
Jan 20, 2025 HAMP @ NCAT 74 - 73
Dec 3, 2024 NCAT @ HAMP 71 - 82
Feb 1, 2024 HAMP @ NCAT 58 - 59
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +41.9% more
North Carolina A&T: 4.0 vs Hampton: 2.3
Assists (L5) +34.5% more
North Carolina A&T: 13.6 vs Hampton: 8.9
Turnovers (L5) +11.5% more
North Carolina A&T: 13.8 vs Hampton: 12.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +10.9%
North Carolina A&T: 35.5% vs Hampton: 24.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NCAT Score 83.0 61
HAMP Score 76.0 82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 24.6 / 35.5 31.0 / 40.0
Assists 8.9 / 13.6 17.0 / 8.0
Blocks 2.3 / 4.0 8.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 41.6 / 48.0 45.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 73.3 / 76.5 88.0 / 69.0
Rebounding 36.3 / 38.4 42.0 / 34.0
Steals 5.7 / 4.4 5.0 / 2.0
Turnovers 12.2 / 13.8 4.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NCAT
11-19-0 (36.7%)
Margin: -2.8 ATS +/-: +1.5
HAMP Advantage
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: -0.8 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NCAT Advantage
16-12-0 (57.1%)
Margin: -2.8 ATS +/-: +1.5
HAMP
16-13-0 (55.2%)
Margin: -0.8 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
NCAT
16-12-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9% Total +/-: +3.6
HAMP
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: +1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HAMP
NCAT
HAMP
NCAT
ML
53% 17-15
52% 14-13
75% 24-8
63% 17-10
ATS
50% 16-16
63% 17-10
75% 24-8
64% 18-10
TTL
68% 21-10-1
69% 18-8-1
100% 32-0
100% 28-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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