DALLAS
MAVERICKSDAL
17-26 | Road
114
NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
25-17 | Home
97
AI Model Win Probability
MAVERICKS
0%
KNICKS
100%
MAVERICKS
--
KNICKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
232.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+4.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NY +4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)
DAL By 1-7 points
27.4%
DAL By 8-14 points
21.6%
NY By 1-7 points
20.1%
NY By 8-14 points
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Dallas
118
DALLAS
New York
114
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Dallas
108
DALLAS
New York
112
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Mavericks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Knicks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Knicks (+11)
Win
Proj Spread: +4.0
D
Sim
Knicks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o231.0
Loss
Proj Total: 232.0
D
Sim
u231.0
Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 19, 2026
DAL @ NY
114 - 97
Nov 19, 2025
NY @ DAL
113 - 111
Mar 25, 2025
DAL @ NY
113 - 128
Nov 27, 2024
NY @ DAL
114 - 129
Feb 8, 2024
DAL @ NY
122 - 108
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+20.0% more
Dallas: 30.4
vs
New York: 24.3
Steals (L5)
+12.2% more
Dallas: 8.5
vs
New York: 7.5
Field Goal % (L5)
+8.2%
Dallas: 51.5%
vs
New York: 43.3%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.1%
Dallas: 37.5%
vs
New York: 33.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DAL Score
118.0
114
NY Score
114.0
97
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.3 / 37.5
29.0 / 47.0
Assists
24.3 / 30.4
22.0 / 25.0
Blocks
4.3 / 3.9
5.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
43.3 / 51.5
40.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
76.8 / 69.8
60.0 / 68.0
Rebounding
44.9 / 44.5
53.0 / 49.0
Steals
7.5 / 8.5
10.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
14.0 / 12.0
17.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DAL
26-56-0
(31.7%)
Margin: -5.5
ATS +/-: -0.8
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DAL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -5.5
ATS +/-: -0.8
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
DAL
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: +1.0
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
DAL
NY
DAL
ML
61%
114-72
62%
63-39
56%
57-45
54%
44-37
ATS
67%
124-62
67%
68-34
56%
57-45
54%
44-37
TTL
72%
133-53
59%
60-41-1
100%
102-0
100%
81-0
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