LOYOLA MARYLAND
GREYHOUNDSL-MD
6-13 | Road
81
LEHIGH
MOUNTAIN HAWKSLEH
7-12 | Home
88
AI Model Win Probability
GREYHOUNDS
0%
MOUNTAIN HAWKS
100%
GREYHOUNDS
--
MOUNTAIN HAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
176.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
LOYOLA MARYLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Loyola Maryland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around L-MD -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (L-MD)
L-MD By 1-7 points
23.0%
L-MD By 8-14 points
27.2%
LEH By 1-7 points
10.7%
LEH By 8-14 points
3.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Loyola Maryland
93
LOYOLA MARYLAND
Lehigh
83
LEHIGH
Simulated Score
Loyola Maryland
66
LOYOLA MARYLAND
Lehigh
72
LEHIGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Greyhounds
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mountain Hawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Greyhounds (-3.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim
Mountain Hawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o149.5
Win
Proj Total: 176.0
D
Sim
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 4, 2026
LEH @ L-MD
84 - 89
Jan 19, 2026
L-MD @ LEH
81 - 88
Mar 4, 2025
LEH @ L-MD
73 - 77
Jan 18, 2025
L-MD @ LEH
76 - 60
Jan 5, 2025
LEH @ L-MD
74 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+17.5% more
Loyola Maryland: 37.2
vs
Lehigh: 30.7
Steals (L5)
+18.0% more
Lehigh: 8.7
vs
Loyola Maryland: 7.4
Blocks (L5)
+16.4% more
Lehigh: 3.8
vs
Loyola Maryland: 3.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+11.8%
Lehigh: 80.1%
vs
Loyola Maryland: 68.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
L-MD Score
93.0
81
LEH Score
83.0
88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.8 / 31.9
37.0 / 41.0
Assists
13.1 / 12.2
18.0 / 15.0
Blocks
3.8 / 3.2
0.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
45.3 / 41.9
57.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
80.1 / 68.2
95.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
30.7 / 37.2
29.0 / 29.0
Steals
8.7 / 7.4
5.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
9.4 / 9.8
9.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
L-MD
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -1.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
LEH
Advantage
18-17-0
(51.4%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
L-MD
15-14-1
(51.7%)
Margin: -1.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
LEH
Advantage
18-14-1
(56.3%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
L-MD
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: +4.5
LEH
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: +4.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LEH
L-MD
LEH
L-MD
ML
56%
19-15
53%
17-15
68%
23-11
66%
21-11
ATS
56%
19-15
56%
18-14
68%
23-11
66%
21-11
TTL
76%
26-8
44%
14-18
100%
34-0
100%
32-0
