NEW HAMPSHIRE
WILDCATSUNH
4-12 | Road
65
MAINE
BLACK BEARSME
3-16 | Home
48
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
0%
BLACK BEARS
100%
WILDCATS
--
BLACK BEARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-23.0
NEW HAMPSHIRE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +23.0 points (New Hampshire)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UNH -23.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNH)
UNH By 1-7 points
4.8%
UNH By 8-14 points
13.7%
ME By 1-7 points
0.8%
ME By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
New Hampshire
83
NEW HAMPSHIRE
Maine
60
MAINE
Simulated Score
New Hampshire
68
NEW HAMPSHIRE
Maine
72
MAINE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Wildcats
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Black Bears
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Wildcats (-1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Sim
Black Bears (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o129.5
Loss
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim
u129.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 21, 2026
ME @ UNH
61 - 58
Jan 19, 2026
UNH @ ME
65 - 48
Feb 27, 2025
ME @ UNH
73 - 66
Jan 30, 2025
UNH @ ME
46 - 71
Feb 10, 2024
ME @ UNH
57 - 60
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+23.8% more
New Hampshire: 12.2
vs
Maine: 9.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.0%
New Hampshire: 37.0%
vs
Maine: 29.0%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.0%
New Hampshire: 45.1%
vs
Maine: 42.2%
Blocks (L5)
+126.5% more
Maine: 3.1
vs
New Hampshire: 1.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UNH Score
83.0
65
ME Score
60.0
48
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.0 / 37.0
7.0 / 28.0
Assists
11.4 / 11.3
6.0 / 15.0
Blocks
3.1 / 1.4
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
42.2 / 45.1
34.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
66.1 / 62.5
83.0 / 53.0
Rebounding
30.9 / 33.6
25.0 / 39.0
Steals
6.3 / 4.0
5.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
9.3 / 12.2
13.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNH
Advantage
9-21-0
(30.0%)
Margin: -5.4
ATS +/-: -2.3
ME
8-24-0
(25.0%)
Margin: -5.9
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNH
12-16-0
(42.9%)
Margin: -5.4
ATS +/-: -2.3
ME
Advantage
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -5.9
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
UNH
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4%
Total +/-: +0.8
ME
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3%
Total +/-: -2.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ME
UNH
ME
UNH
ML
45%
14-17
70%
19-8
52%
16-15
74%
20-7
ATS
55%
17-14
67%
18-9
52%
16-15
74%
20-7
TTL
55%
17-14
59%
16-11
100%
31-0
100%
27-0
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