AI Model Win Probability
CARDINALS
0%
PRIVATEERS
100%
CARDINALS
--
PRIVATEERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
103.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
LAMAR
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Lamar)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LAM -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAM)
LAM By 1-7 points
24.3%
LAM By 8-14 points
26.8%
UNO By 1-7 points
12.2%
UNO By 8-14 points
4.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Lamar
56
LAMAR
New Orleans
47
NEW ORLEANS
Simulated Score
Lamar
70
LAMAR
New Orleans
75
NEW ORLEANS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cardinals
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Privateers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Cardinals (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Privateers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u144.5
Loss
Proj Total: 103.0
D
Sim
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 21, 2026
UNO @ LAM
77 - 71
Jan 19, 2026
LAM @ UNO
76 - 89
Jan 13, 2025
UNO @ LAM
68 - 62
Mar 11, 2024
UNO @ LAM
57 - 71
Feb 17, 2024
LAM @ UNO
94 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+55.8% more
Lamar: 7.4
vs
New Orleans: 3.3
Assists (L5)
+20.1% more
Lamar: 13.4
vs
New Orleans: 10.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.0%
Lamar: 43.6%
vs
New Orleans: 36.6%
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.0%
Lamar: 74.8%
vs
New Orleans: 71.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAM Score
56.0
76
UNO Score
47.0
89
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.6 / 43.6
17.0 / 30.0
Assists
10.7 / 13.4
14.0 / 16.0
Blocks
5.3 / 3.7
1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
46.7 / 48.4
54.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
71.8 / 74.8
73.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
37.9 / 34.5
40.0 / 35.0
Steals
3.3 / 7.4
7.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
13.4 / 13.8
13.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAM
12-19-0
(38.7%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: -1.5
UNO
Advantage
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: +3.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAM
12-16-1
(42.9%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: -1.5
UNO
Advantage
19-14-0
(57.6%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: +3.4
⚖️ Over/Under
LAM
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -1.1
UNO
19-14-0
O: 57.6% / U: 42.4%
Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNO
LAM
UNO
LAM
ML
52%
16-15
55%
16-13
57%
17-13
59%
17-12
ATS
52%
16-15
52%
15-14
57%
17-13
60%
18-12
TTL
58%
18-13
72%
21-8
100%
30-0
100%
30-0