Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Gaels @ Peacocks IONA @ SPU

IONA

GAELSIONA

12-7  |  Road

63
FINAL
Mon, Jan 19 • 2:00 PM ET
Yanitelli Center
View Odds Details →

SAINT PETER'S

PEACOCKSSPU

10-6  |  Home

77
AI Model Win Probability
GAELS
0%
📊
PEACOCKS
100%
GAELS --
PEACOCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
65.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-65.0
IONA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +65.0 points (Iona)
GaelsIONA (-3.5) 0 PeacocksSPU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Gaels Cover

100.0%

Peacocks Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around IONA -65.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IONA)

IONA By 1-7 points

0.0%

IONA By 8-14 points

0.0%

SPU By 1-7 points

0.0%

SPU By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
65
IONA
0
SAINT PETER'S
Simulated Score
75
IONA
68
SAINT PETER'S
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Gaels Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Gaels Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Gaels (-3.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -65.0
D
Sim Gaels (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u141.5 Win
Proj Total: 65.0
D
Sim u141.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 20, 2026 SPU @ IONA 64 - 72
Jan 19, 2026 IONA @ SPU 63 - 77
Dec 8, 2024 SPU @ IONA 63 - 72
Feb 18, 2024 SPU @ IONA 59 - 53
Jan 5, 2024 IONA @ SPU 57 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +21.8% more
Iona: 15.8 vs Saint Peter's: 12.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.0%
Iona: 34.4% vs Saint Peter's: 30.4%
Steals (L5) +66.7% more
Saint Peter's: 8.7 vs Iona: 5.2
Blocks (L5) +50.3% more
Saint Peter's: 5.5 vs Iona: 3.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
IONA Score 65.0 63
SPU Score 0.0 77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.4 / 34.4 40.0 / 34.0
Assists 12.3 / 15.8 15.0 / 12.0
Blocks 5.5 / 3.6 5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 44.4 / 44.2 46.0 / 36.0
Free Throw % 67.7 / 57.1 75.0 / 55.0
Rebounding 34.9 / 34.7 44.0 / 31.0
Steals 8.7 / 5.2 6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 11.3 / 10.5 13.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
24%TICKETS76%
41%MONEY59%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
32%MONEY68%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
56%MONEY44%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IONA
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: 0.0
SPU Advantage
17-12-0 (58.6%)
Margin: 2.4 ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IONA Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: 0.0
SPU
16-11-1 (59.3%)
Margin: 2.4 ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
IONA
12-20-0
O: 37.5% / U: 62.5% Total +/-: -1.6
SPU
10-18-0
O: 35.7% / U: 64.3% Total +/-: -0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SPU
IONA
SPU
IONA
ML
64% 18-10
41% 13-19
71% 20-8
62% 20-12
ATS
71% 20-8
53% 17-15
71% 20-8
62% 20-12
TTL
61% 17-11
66% 21-11
100% 28-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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