MANHATTAN
JASPERSMAN
8-12 | Road
92
QUINNIPIAC
BOBCATSQUIN
12-7 | Home
98
AI Model Win Probability
JASPERS
100%
BOBCATS
0%
JASPERS
--
BOBCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
QUINNIPIAC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Quinnipiac)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around QUIN -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (QUIN)
MAN By 1-7 points
6.8%
MAN By 8-14 points
1.7%
QUIN By 1-7 points
18.6%
QUIN By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Manhattan
66
MANHATTAN
Quinnipiac
79
QUINNIPIAC
Simulated Score
Manhattan
68
MANHATTAN
Quinnipiac
75
QUINNIPIAC
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bobcats
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bobcats
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bobcats (-12.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim
Bobcats (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u154.5
Loss
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 19, 2026
MAN @ QUIN
92 - 98
Jan 2, 2026
QUIN @ MAN
79 - 80
Feb 23, 2025
QUIN @ MAN
74 - 71
Feb 2, 2024
QUIN @ MAN
77 - 71
Jan 7, 2024
MAN @ QUIN
59 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+151.9% more
Quinnipiac: 4.0
vs
Manhattan: 1.6
Assists (L5)
+12.9% more
Quinnipiac: 14.1
vs
Manhattan: 12.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.8%
Quinnipiac: 35.8%
vs
Manhattan: 27.0%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.5%
Quinnipiac: 43.3%
vs
Manhattan: 39.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MAN Score
66.0
92
QUIN Score
79.0
98
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.8 / 27.0
46.0 / 45.0
Assists
14.1 / 12.5
19.0 / 11.0
Blocks
4.0 / 1.6
5.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
43.3 / 39.8
50.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
71.2 / 78.8
66.0 / 91.0
Rebounding
31.6 / 31.0
39.0 / 31.0
Steals
6.9 / 6.5
7.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
9.8 / 9.4
13.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MAN
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -4.9
ATS +/-: -3.1
QUIN
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MAN
11-19-1
(36.7%)
Margin: -4.9
ATS +/-: -3.1
QUIN
Advantage
13-17-1
(43.3%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
MAN
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: +2.4
QUIN
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3%
Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
QUIN
MAN
QUIN
MAN
ML
66%
21-11
52%
16-15
53%
17-15
68%
21-10
ATS
59%
19-13
52%
16-15
53%
17-15
69%
22-10
TTL
62%
20-12
77%
24-7
100%
32-0
100%
32-0
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