VERMONT
CATAMOUNTSUVM
11-7 | Road
68
UALBANY
GREAT DANESUALB
6-12 | Home
75
AI Model Win Probability
CATAMOUNTS
100%
GREAT DANES
0%
CATAMOUNTS
--
GREAT DANES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
99.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
UALBANY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (UAlbany)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UALB -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UALB)
UVM By 1-7 points
24.3%
UVM By 8-14 points
13.7%
UALB By 1-7 points
26.2%
UALB By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Vermont
49
VERMONT
UAlbany
50
UALBANY
Simulated Score
Vermont
60
VERMONT
UAlbany
72
UALBANY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Great Danes
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Great Danes
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Great Danes (+4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Great Danes (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u140.5
Loss
Proj Total: 99.0
D
Sim
u140.5
Win
Proj Total: 132.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 3, 2026
UALB @ UVM
56 - 69
Jan 19, 2026
UVM @ UALB
68 - 75
Mar 4, 2025
UALB @ UVM
71 - 79
Feb 8, 2025
UVM @ UALB
68 - 62
Mar 9, 2024
UALB @ UVM
72 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+48.6% more
UAlbany: 5.2
vs
Vermont: 3.5
Turnovers (L5)
+39.7% more
UAlbany: 11.3
vs
Vermont: 8.1
Assists (L5)
+12.0% more
UAlbany: 12.3
vs
Vermont: 11.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.2%
UAlbany: 74.4%
vs
Vermont: 71.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UVM Score
49.0
68
UALB Score
50.0
75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.8 / 32.9
36.0 / 38.0
Assists
12.3 / 11.0
17.0 / 10.0
Blocks
4.7 / 4.8
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
47.6 / 46.9
44.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
74.4 / 71.2
75.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
35.4 / 35.6
32.0 / 33.0
Steals
5.2 / 3.5
12.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
11.3 / 8.1
9.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UVM
Advantage
22-12-0
(64.7%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: -2.4
UALB
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UVM
Advantage
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: -2.4
UALB
11-18-0
(37.9%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
UVM
16-16-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +1.9
UALB
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UALB
UVM
UALB
UVM
ML
55%
17-14
56%
19-15
71%
22-9
65%
22-12
ATS
77%
24-7
62%
21-13
72%
23-9
65%
22-12
TTL
61%
19-12
47%
16-18
100%
32-0
100%
34-0
Contextual Game News
