Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Pioneers @ Broncs SHU @ RID

SACRED HEART

PIONEERSSHU

6-13  |  Road

105
FINAL
Mon, Jan 19 • 2:00 PM ET
Alumni Gymnasium (Rider)
View Odds Details →

RIDER

BRONCSRID

2-15  |  Home

85
AI Model Win Probability
PIONEERS
0%
📊
BRONCS
100%
PIONEERS --
BRONCS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
122.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-40.0
SACRED HEART
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +40.0 points (Sacred Heart)
PioneersSHU (-3.5) 0 BroncsRID (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pioneers Cover

100.0%

Broncs Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SHU -40.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SHU)

SHU By 1-7 points

0.1%

SHU By 8-14 points

0.5%

RID By 1-7 points

0.0%

RID By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
81
SACRED HEART
41
RIDER
Simulated Score
70
SACRED HEART
75
RIDER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Pioneers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Broncs Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Pioneers (+4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -40.0
D
Sim Broncs (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u144.5 Loss
Proj Total: 122.0
D
Sim u144.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 15, 2026 RID @ SHU 75 - 86
Jan 19, 2026 SHU @ RID 105 - 85
Feb 6, 2025 RID @ SHU 77 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +27.8% more
Sacred Heart: 15.6 vs Rider: 11.3
Free Throw % (L5) +15.2%
Sacred Heart: 83.2% vs Rider: 68.0%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +11.9%
Sacred Heart: 37.2% vs Rider: 25.3%
Turnovers (L5) +16.1% more
Rider: 12.7 vs Sacred Heart: 11.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SHU Score 81.0 105
RID Score 41.0 85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 25.3 / 37.2 38.0 / 56.0
Assists 11.3 / 15.6 20.0 / 21.0
Blocks 3.2 / 2.8 2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 41.6 / 41.0 46.0 / 61.0
Free Throw % 68.0 / 83.2 65.0 / 69.0
Rebounding 37.1 / 36.3 34.0 / 36.0
Steals 4.2 / 4.3 3.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 12.7 / 11.0 8.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
88%TICKETS12%
91%MONEY9%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
79%MONEY21%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
44%MONEY56%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SHU Advantage
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: -1.3
RID
4-25-0 (13.8%)
Margin: -12.6 ATS +/-: -3.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SHU Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: -1.3
RID
7-18-3 (28.0%)
Margin: -12.6 ATS +/-: -3.1
⚖️ Over/Under
SHU
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1% Total +/-: +1.5
RID
9-19-0
O: 32.1% / U: 67.9% Total +/-: -0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RID
SHU
RID
SHU
ML
72% 21-8
61% 20-13
66% 19-10
73% 24-9
ATS
72% 21-8
76% 25-8
66% 19-10
73% 24-9
TTL
62% 18-11
58% 19-14
100% 29-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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