NORTHEASTERN
HUSKIESNE
6-11 | Road
68
MONMOUTH
HAWKSMONM
8-10 | Home
81
AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
0%
HAWKS
100%
HUSKIES
--
HAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
144.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-24.0
NORTHEASTERN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +24.0 points (Northeastern)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NE -24.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NE)
NE By 1-7 points
4.0%
NE By 8-14 points
12.2%
MONM By 1-7 points
0.6%
MONM By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Northeastern
84
NORTHEASTERN
Monmouth
60
MONMOUTH
Simulated Score
Northeastern
69
NORTHEASTERN
Monmouth
73
MONMOUTH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Huskies
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Huskies (-4.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -24.0
D
Sim
Hawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u146.5
Loss
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Sim
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 3, 2026
MONM @ NE
89 - 83
Jan 19, 2026
NE @ MONM
68 - 81
Feb 24, 2025
NE @ MONM
73 - 78
Feb 10, 2024
MONM @ NE
65 - 77
Jan 8, 2024
NE @ MONM
62 - 81
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+37.6% more
Northeastern: 17.2
vs
Monmouth: 10.7
Steals (L5)
+19.1% more
Northeastern: 9.1
vs
Monmouth: 7.3
Field Goal % (L5)
+9.4%
Northeastern: 47.7%
vs
Monmouth: 38.3%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.9%
Northeastern: 37.2%
vs
Monmouth: 30.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NE Score
84.0
68
MONM Score
60.0
81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.4 / 37.2
37.0 / 17.0
Assists
10.7 / 17.2
21.0 / 8.0
Blocks
5.2 / 2.0
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
38.3 / 47.7
46.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
75.1 / 74.3
58.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
35.7 / 27.7
38.0 / 40.0
Steals
7.3 / 9.1
9.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
12.4 / 9.8
9.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NE
7-24-0
(22.6%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: -2.2
MONM
Advantage
19-15-0
(55.9%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: +1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NE
11-20-0
(35.5%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: -2.2
MONM
Advantage
17-15-1
(53.1%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: +1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
NE
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5%
Total +/-: +7.6
MONM
16-17-0
O: 48.5% / U: 51.5%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MONM
NE
MONM
NE
ML
62%
21-13
70%
21-9
64%
21-12
60%
18-12
ATS
62%
21-13
63%
19-11
64%
21-12
60%
18-12
TTL
59%
20-14
53%
16-14
100%
33-0
100%
30-0
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