SAINT JOSEPH'S
HAWKSJOES
11-7 | Road
72
VCU
RAMSVCU
12-6 | Home
79
AI Model Win Probability
HAWKS
0%
RAMS
100%
HAWKS
--
RAMS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+7.0
VCU
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around VCU +7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VCU)
JOES By 1-7 points
26.2%
JOES By 8-14 points
25.3%
VCU By 1-7 points
15.3%
VCU By 8-14 points
5.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Saint Joseph's
73
SAINT JOSEPH'S
VCU
66
VCU
Simulated Score
Saint Joseph's
68
SAINT JOSEPH'S
VCU
72
VCU
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hawks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rams
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rams (+14.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +7.0
D
Sim
Rams (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 14, 2026
JOES @ VCU
64 - 77
Jan 19, 2026
JOES @ VCU
72 - 79
Jan 17, 2025
VCU @ JOES
78 - 69
Mar 16, 2024
JOES @ VCU
60 - 66
Feb 25, 2024
JOES @ VCU
69 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+28.6% more
Saint Joseph's: 11.5
vs
VCU: 8.2
Blocks (L5)
+15.1% more
Saint Joseph's: 5.0
vs
VCU: 4.3
Assists (L5)
+14.7% more
Saint Joseph's: 15.3
vs
VCU: 13.0
Rebounding (L5)
+9.6% more
Saint Joseph's: 36.5
vs
VCU: 33.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
JOES Score
73.0
72
VCU Score
66.0
79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.3 / 29.7
37.0 / 44.0
Assists
13.0 / 15.3
17.0 / 13.0
Blocks
4.3 / 5.0
5.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
46.9 / 42.2
43.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
74.5 / 73.5
70.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
33.0 / 36.5
35.0 / 37.0
Steals
7.1 / 5.7
12.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
8.2 / 11.5
10.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JOES
24-12-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 2.9
ATS +/-: +1.9
VCU
Advantage
28-8-0
(77.8%)
Margin: 9.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JOES
Advantage
20-14-0
(58.8%)
Margin: 2.9
ATS +/-: +1.9
VCU
18-18-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 9.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
JOES
11-23-0
O: 32.4% / U: 67.7%
Total +/-: -3.3
VCU
16-20-0
O: 44.4% / U: 55.6%
Total +/-: -0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VCU
JOES
VCU
JOES
ML
72%
26-10
51%
18-17
67%
22-11
61%
20-13
ATS
81%
29-7
60%
21-14
67%
22-11
61%
20-13
TTL
58%
21-15
54%
19-16
100%
33-0
100%
33-0
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