WASHINGTON
CAPITALSWSH
24-19-6 | Road
2
COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
33-5-8 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Charlie Lindgren
#79 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Scott Wedgewood
#41 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Lindgren | None-None | 5.00 | 0.886 | -- |
| Scott Wedgewood | None-None | 2.00 | 0.917 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
5.00
GAA
Ldr 2.00
0.886
Save %
Ldr 0.917
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
CAPITALS
100%
AVALANCHE
0%
CAPITALS
--
AVALANCHE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around COL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
WSH By 1 goal
12.1%
WSH By 2-3 goals
9.3%
COL By 1 goal
19.7%
COL By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
2
WASHINGTON
Colorado
3
COLORADO
Simulated Score
Washington
2
WASHINGTON
Colorado
4
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Avalanche
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Avalanche (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 22, 2026
COL @ WSH
3 - 2
Jan 19, 2026
WSH @ COL
2 - 5
Nov 21, 2024
COL @ WSH
2 - 1
Nov 15, 2024
WSH @ COL
5 - 2
Feb 13, 2024
COL @ WSH
6 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+30.5% more
Colorado: 36.0
vs
Washington: 27.6
Takeaways (L5)
+25.6% more
Colorado: 4.4
vs
Washington: 3.5
Hits (L5)
+39.4% more
Washington: 21.9
vs
Colorado: 13.3
Faceoff % (L5)
+3.1%
Washington: 51.0%
vs
Colorado: 47.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSH Score
2.0
2
COL Score
3.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.3 / 14.9
9.0 / 24.0
Faceoff %
47.9 / 51.0
47.8 / 52.2
Hits
13.3 / 21.9
14.0 / 14.0
Power Play %
13.0 / 15.9
16.7 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
36.0 / 27.6
44.0 / 24.0
Takeaways
4.4 / 3.5
6.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
WSH
COL
WSH
ML
67%
2-1
100%
3-0
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
ATS
67%
2-1
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
TTL
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
Contextual Game News
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Ovechkin's Sons Steal the Show as Capitals Clip Penguins 5-3 in …
Penguins Embarrassed by Capitals as Turnovers and Disorganizatio…
Steelers Bolster Secondary with Addition of Veteran Cornerback S…