NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
26-17-5 | Road
4
VANCOUVER
CANUCKSVAN
16-27-5 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ilya Sorokin
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Kevin Lankinen
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin | None-None | 3.00 | 0.906 | -- |
| Kevin Lankinen | None-None | 4.28 | 0.879 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.00 Ldr
GAA
4.28
0.906 Ldr
Save %
0.879
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
0%
CANUCKS
100%
ISLANDERS
--
CANUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
VANCOUVER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around VAN +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VAN)
NYI By 1 goal
19.7%
NYI By 2-3 goals
29.6%
VAN By 1 goal
12.1%
VAN By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
4
NEW YORK
Vancouver
3
VANCOUVER
Simulated Score
New York
2
NEW YORK
Vancouver
4
VANCOUVER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Islanders
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Canucks
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Canucks (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim
Canucks (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 19, 2026
NYI @ VAN
4 - 3
Dec 19, 2025
VAN @ NYI
4 - 1
Mar 26, 2025
VAN @ NYI
5 - 2
Nov 14, 2024
NYI @ VAN
5 - 2
Jan 9, 2024
VAN @ NYI
5 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+17.1% more
New York: 15.0
vs
Vancouver: 12.4
Power Play % (L5)
+7.8%
New York: 23.2%
vs
Vancouver: 15.3%
Faceoff % (L5)
+5.7%
New York: 55.7%
vs
Vancouver: 50.0%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+8.8% more
Vancouver: 28.1
vs
New York: 25.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYI Score
4.0
4
VAN Score
3.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.4 / 15.0
7.0 / 17.0
Faceoff %
50.0 / 55.7
55.1 / 44.9
Hits
17.5 / 18.8
20.0 / 17.0
Power Play %
15.3 / 23.2
0.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
28.1 / 25.9
32.0 / 33.0
Takeaways
4.5 / 4.7
3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VAN
NYI
VAN
NYI
ML
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
ATS
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
TTL
50%
2-2
100%
2-0-1
50%
2-2
100%
2-0-1
Contextual Game News
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