Home / NBA Projections NBA / Raptors @ Lakers TOR @ LAL

TORONTO

RAPTORSTOR

25-18  |  Road

93
FINAL
Sun, Jan 18 • 9:30 PM ET
crypto.com Arena
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

LAKERSLAL

24-16  |  Home

110
AI Model Win Probability
RAPTORS
0%
📊
LAKERS
100%
RAPTORS --
LAKERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
208.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Toronto)
RaptorsTOR (-3.5) 0 LakersLAL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Raptors Cover

78.8%

Lakers Cover

21.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TOR -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)

TOR By 1-7 points

25.3%

TOR By 8-14 points

26.2%

LAL By 1-7 points

13.7%

LAL By 8-14 points

4.8%

AI Model Projected Score
108
TORONTO
100
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
112
TORONTO
118
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Raptors Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Lakers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Raptors (-2) Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim Lakers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u224.5 Win
Proj Total: 208.0
D
Sim u224.5 Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 18, 2026 TOR @ LAL 93 - 110
Dec 4, 2025 LAL @ TOR 123 - 120
Nov 10, 2024 TOR @ LAL 103 - 123
Nov 1, 2024 LAL @ TOR 131 - 125
Apr 2, 2024 LAL @ TOR 128 - 111
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +17.1% more
Toronto: 29.8 vs Los Angeles: 24.7
Blocks (L5) +14.0% more
Toronto: 4.7 vs Los Angeles: 4.1
Rebounding (L5) +12.5% more
Toronto: 41.4 vs Los Angeles: 36.2
Steals (L5) +20.2% more
Los Angeles: 7.4 vs Toronto: 6.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TOR Score 108.0 93
LAL Score 100.0 110
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.3 / 29.2 39.0 / 22.0
Assists 24.7 / 29.8 25.0 / 30.0
Blocks 4.1 / 4.7 6.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 49.0 / 46.0 48.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 80.2 / 79.1 82.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 36.2 / 41.4 48.0 / 43.0
Steals 7.4 / 6.1 6.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 13.3 / 13.3 15.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
32%MONEY68%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
44%MONEY56%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
83%TICKETS17%
74%MONEY26%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TOR
49-40-0 (55.1%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: +1.4
LAL Advantage
57-35-0 (62.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TOR
46-43-0 (51.7%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: +1.4
LAL Advantage
51-41-0 (55.4%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4% Total +/-: -1.8
LAL
46-46-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAL
TOR
LAL
TOR
ML
61% 68-43
55% 57-47
54% 49-42
55% 48-39
ATS
61% 67-43-1
61% 62-40-2
54% 49-42
55% 48-39
TTL
61% 66-43-2
60% 62-42
100% 91-0
100% 87-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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