OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
22-19-6 | Road
3
DETROIT
RED WINGSDET
29-16-4 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Artem Zub
#2 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
John Gibson
#36 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artem Zub | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| John Gibson | None-None | 3.00 | 0.864 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
3.00
--
Save %
0.864
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SENATORS
0%
RED WINGS
100%
SENATORS
--
RED WINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around DET +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
OTT By 1 goal
19.7%
OTT By 2-3 goals
29.6%
DET By 1 goal
12.1%
DET By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Ottawa
3
OTTAWA
Detroit
2
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Ottawa
3
OTTAWA
Detroit
4
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Senators
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Wings
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Red Wings (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim
Red Wings (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 6, 2026
OTT @ DET
3 - 5
Mar 24, 2026
OTT @ DET
3 - 2
Feb 26, 2026
DET @ OTT
2 - 1
Jan 18, 2026
OTT @ DET
3 - 4
Jan 5, 2026
DET @ OTT
5 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+34.3% more
Ottawa: 22.9
vs
Detroit: 15.0
Shots on Goal (L5)
+28.1% more
Ottawa: 32.1
vs
Detroit: 23.1
Power Play % (L5)
+4.1%
Ottawa: 31.3%
vs
Detroit: 27.2%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+20.4% more
Detroit: 18.0
vs
Ottawa: 15.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OTT Score
3.0
3
DET Score
2.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
18.0 / 15.0
11.0 / 10.0
Faceoff %
47.0 / 47.1
40.7 / 59.3
Hits
15.0 / 22.9
19.0 / 24.0
Power Play %
27.2 / 31.3
40.0 / 66.7
Shots on Goal
23.1 / 32.1
34.0 / 22.0
Takeaways
4.6 / 4.4
3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
OTT
DET
OTT
ML
67%
2-1
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
ATS
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
TTL
0%
0-3
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
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