Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Mavericks @ Golden Eagles OMA @ ORU

OMAHA

MAVERICKSOMA

8-11  |  Road

73
FINAL
Sat, Jan 17 • 8:00 PM ET
Mabee Center
View Odds Details →

ORAL ROBERTS

GOLDEN EAGLESORU

5-14  |  Home

62
AI Model Win Probability
MAVERICKS
0%
📊
GOLDEN EAGLES
100%
MAVERICKS --
GOLDEN EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
115.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-33.0
OMAHA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +33.0 points (Omaha)
MavericksOMA (-3.5) 0 Golden EaglesORU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Mavericks Cover

100.0%

Golden Eagles Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around OMA -33.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OMA)

OMA By 1-7 points

0.5%

OMA By 8-14 points

2.7%

ORU By 1-7 points

0.0%

ORU By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
74
OMAHA
41
ORAL ROBERTS
Simulated Score
70
OMAHA
78
ORAL ROBERTS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Mavericks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Eagles Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Mavericks (-1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Sim Golden Eagles (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u146.5 Win
Proj Total: 115.0
D
Sim u146.5 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 18, 2026 ORU @ OMA 71 - 80
Jan 17, 2026 OMA @ ORU 73 - 62
Mar 1, 2025 ORU @ OMA 57 - 80
Jan 25, 2025 OMA @ ORU 84 - 76
Feb 22, 2024 ORU @ OMA 70 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +14.0% more
Omaha: 11.7 vs Oral Roberts: 10.0
Free Throw % (L5) +13.9%
Omaha: 78.6% vs Oral Roberts: 64.7%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +8.9%
Omaha: 39.2% vs Oral Roberts: 30.3%
Field Goal % (L5) +5.5%
Omaha: 50.0% vs Oral Roberts: 44.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
OMA Score 74.0 73
ORU Score 41.0 62
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.3 / 39.2 21.0 / 44.0
Assists 13.9 / 15.1 7.0 / 11.0
Blocks 3.4 / 2.1 5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 44.5 / 50.0 39.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 64.7 / 78.6 76.0 / 61.0
Rebounding 31.9 / 33.1 33.0 / 30.0
Steals 6.4 / 4.8 2.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 10.0 / 11.7 12.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
35%MONEY65%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
7%MONEY93%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
55%MONEY45%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OMA Advantage
16-17-0 (48.5%)
Margin: -0.5 ATS +/-: +0.1
ORU
10-23-0 (30.3%)
Margin: -4.2 ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OMA Advantage
14-15-0 (48.3%)
Margin: -0.5 ATS +/-: +0.1
ORU
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: -4.2 ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
OMA
14-14-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.6
ORU
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORU
OMA
ORU
OMA
ML
85% 28-5
79% 26-7
73% 24-9
67% 22-11
ATS
82% 27-6
76% 25-8
73% 24-9
67% 22-11
TTL
61% 20-13
73% 24-9
100% 33-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Jason Kidd in Advanced Talks to Join ESPN's NBA Countdown as Ana…
yahoo 2 days, 20 hours ago
Jason Kidd Nears ESPN Studio Analyst Role for NBA Countdown
theathleticuk 3 days, 1 hour ago
Florida Gators Banking on Star-Studded Core for SEC Three-Peat
yahoo 1 week, 3 days ago
Kirby Smart Stays Silent on Nate Frazier's Injury Status as Geor…
si 1 week, 3 days ago
West Virginia's Defense Exposed in 41-24 Loss to Oklahoma State
wvnews 1 week, 4 days ago