Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Mean Green @ Green Wave UNT @ TULN

NORTH TEXAS

MEAN GREENUNT

10-7  |  Road

71
FINAL
Sun, Jan 18 • 5:00 PM ET
Devlin Fieldhouse
View Odds Details →

TULANE

GREEN WAVETULN

12-5  |  Home

63
AI Model Win Probability
MEAN GREEN
0%
📊
GREEN WAVE
100%
MEAN GREEN --
GREEN WAVE --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
111.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
NORTH TEXAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (North Texas)
Mean GreenUNT (-3.5) 0 Green WaveTULN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Mean Green Cover

81.6%

Green Wave Cover

18.4%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UNT -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNT)

UNT By 1-7 points

24.3%

UNT By 8-14 points

26.8%

TULN By 1-7 points

12.2%

TULN By 8-14 points

4.0%

AI Model Projected Score
60
NORTH TEXAS
51
TULANE
Simulated Score
68
NORTH TEXAS
72
TULANE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Mean Green Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Green Wave Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Mean Green (-1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim Green Wave (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u136.5 Win
Proj Total: 111.0
D
Sim u136.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 19, 2026 TULN @ UNT 77 - 71
Jan 18, 2026 UNT @ TULN 71 - 63
Feb 8, 2025 TULN @ UNT 66 - 76
Mar 14, 2024 TULN @ UNT 71 - 81
Feb 28, 2024 UNT @ TULN 80 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +27.7% more
North Texas: 11.2 vs Tulane: 8.1
Turnovers (L5) +12.8% more
North Texas: 12.3 vs Tulane: 10.8
Assists (L5) +38.2% more
Tulane: 15.1 vs North Texas: 10.9
Free Throw % (L5) +12.3%
Tulane: 77.4% vs North Texas: 65.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UNT Score 60.0 71
TULN Score 51.0 63
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.5 / 33.2 33.0 / 32.0
Assists 15.1 / 10.9 11.0 / 13.0
Blocks 5.8 / 5.4 3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 41.6 / 43.0 31.0 / 37.0
Free Throw % 77.4 / 65.1 76.0 / 81.0
Rebounding 32.5 / 31.0 30.0 / 47.0
Steals 8.1 / 11.2 8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 10.8 / 12.3 11.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
25%TICKETS75%
21%MONEY79%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
34%MONEY66%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
56%MONEY44%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNT Advantage
19-14-0 (57.6%)
Margin: 3.5 ATS +/-: -0.7
TULN
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: -2.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNT Advantage
17-14-0 (54.8%)
Margin: 3.5 ATS +/-: -0.7
TULN
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: -2.7
⚖️ Over/Under
UNT
15-16-0
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6% Total +/-: -0.2
TULN
13-18-1
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: -1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TULN
UNT
TULN
UNT
ML
70% 23-10
70% 23-10
47% 15-17
59% 19-13
ATS
62% 20-12-1
52% 17-16
47% 15-17
59% 19-13
TTL
55% 18-15
67% 22-11
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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