Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Golden Hurricane @ Blazers TLSA @ UAB

TULSA

GOLDEN HURRICANETLSA

14-3  |  Road

99
FINAL
Sun, Jan 18 • 3:00 PM ET
Bartow Arena
View Odds Details →

UAB

BLAZERSUAB

12-6  |  Home

77
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN HURRICANE
100%
📊
BLAZERS
0%
GOLDEN HURRICANE --
BLAZERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
156.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
UAB
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (UAB)
Golden HurricaneTLSA (-3.5) 0 BlazersUAB (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Hurricane Cover

5.5%

Blazers Cover

94.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UAB -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UAB)

TLSA By 1-7 points

4.0%

TLSA By 8-14 points

0.8%

UAB By 1-7 points

13.7%

UAB By 8-14 points

24.3%

AI Model Projected Score
70
TULSA
86
UAB
Simulated Score
72
TULSA
75
UAB
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Blazers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blazers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Blazers (-1.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim Blazers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u159.5 Loss
Proj Total: 156.0
D
Sim u159.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 11, 2026 UAB @ TLSA 68 - 63
Jan 18, 2026 TLSA @ UAB 99 - 77
Jan 29, 2025 UAB @ TLSA 78 - 68
Jan 4, 2025 TLSA @ UAB 51 - 83
Feb 11, 2024 UAB @ TLSA 70 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +54.3% more
UAB: 8.7 vs Tulsa: 5.6
Rebounding (L5) +18.6% more
UAB: 41.5 vs Tulsa: 35.0
Assists (L5) +15.0% more
UAB: 15.7 vs Tulsa: 13.6
Turnovers (L5) +19.9% more
Tulsa: 11.4 vs UAB: 9.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TLSA Score 70.0 99
UAB Score 86.0 77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.3 / 40.8 33.0 / 46.0
Assists 15.7 / 13.6 12.0 / 19.0
Blocks 2.1 / 2.6 1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 44.4 / 48.5 44.0 / 61.0
Free Throw % 77.6 / 80.8 73.0 / 90.0
Rebounding 41.5 / 35.0 28.0 / 37.0
Steals 8.7 / 5.6 6.0 / 2.0
Turnovers 9.2 / 11.4 5.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
33%MONEY67%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
48%MONEY52%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
70%MONEY30%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TLSA Advantage
30-8-0 (79.0%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: +4.3
UAB
20-12-0 (62.5%)
Margin: 5.4 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TLSA Advantage
20-15-1 (57.1%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: +4.3
UAB
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: 5.4 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
TLSA
24-12-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3% Total +/-: +4.8
UAB
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UAB
TLSA
UAB
TLSA
ML
59% 19-13
66% 25-13
41% 13-19
64% 23-13
ATS
56% 18-14
74% 28-10
41% 13-19
64% 23-13
TTL
69% 22-10
58% 22-16
100% 32-0
100% 36-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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