BETHESDA UNIVERSITY
FLAMESBTHS
0-0 | Road
67
SAN DIEGO
TOREROSUSD
7-12 | Home
113
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
100%
TOREROS
0%
FLAMES
--
TOREROS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
183.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-41.0
SAN DIEGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +41.0 points (San Diego)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around USD -41.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (USD)
BTHS By 1-7 points
0.0%
BTHS By 8-14 points
0.0%
USD By 1-7 points
0.0%
USD By 8-14 points
0.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Bethesda University
71
BETHESDA UNIVERSITY
San Diego
112
SAN DIEGO
Simulated Score
Bethesda University
55
BETHESDA UNIVERSITY
San Diego
92
SAN DIEGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Toreros
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Toreros
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Toreros (-5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -41.0
D
Sim
Toreros (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -37.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o152.5
Win
Proj Total: 183.0
D
Sim
u152.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 17, 2026
BTHS @ USD
67 - 113
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+89.2% more
San Diego: 2.1
vs
Bethesda University: 1.1
Assists (L5)
+61.8% more
San Diego: 15.5
vs
Bethesda University: 9.6
Steals (L5)
+32.5% more
San Diego: 7.3
vs
Bethesda University: 5.5
Rebounding (L5)
+21.4% more
San Diego: 31.7
vs
Bethesda University: 26.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BTHS Score
71.0
67
USD Score
112.0
113
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.9 / 27.6
50.0 / 28.0
Assists
15.5 / 9.6
28.0 / 16.0
Blocks
2.1 / 1.1
5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
42.6 / 29.7
58.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
75.2 / 61.2
93.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
31.7 / 26.1
49.0 / 22.0
Steals
7.3 / 5.5
10.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
13.4 / 15.8
18.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BTHS
--
USD
Advantage
12-21-0
(36.4%)
Margin: -3.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BTHS
--
USD
Advantage
16-15-0
(51.6%)
Margin: -3.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
BTHS
--
USD
12-17-2
O: 41.4% / U: 58.6%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
USD
BTHS
USD
BTHS
ML
58%
19-14
100%
7-0
70%
23-10
100%
7-0
ATS
55%
18-15
100%
7-0
70%
23-10
100%
7-0
TTL
61%
20-13
71%
5-2
100%
33-0
100%
7-0
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