EAST TEXAS A&M
LIONSETAM
7-11 | Road
70
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
HUSKIESHCU
5-12 | Home
81
AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
0%
HUSKIES
100%
LIONS
--
HUSKIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
156.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
EAST TEXAS A&M
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (East Texas A&M)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ETAM -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ETAM)
ETAM By 1-7 points
20.1%
ETAM By 8-14 points
27.2%
HCU By 1-7 points
8.0%
HCU By 8-14 points
2.2%
AI Model Projected Score
East Texas A&M
84
EAST TEXAS A&M
Houston Christian
72
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
Simulated Score
East Texas A&M
73
EAST TEXAS A&M
Houston Christian
78
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Lions
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Huskies
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Lions (-3)
Loss
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Huskies (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o139.0
Win
Proj Total: 156.0
D
Sim
u139.0
Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 23, 2026
HCU @ ETAM
69 - 68
Jan 17, 2026
ETAM @ HCU
70 - 81
Mar 3, 2025
HCU @ ETAM
59 - 63
Dec 5, 2024
ETAM @ HCU
79 - 83
Mar 2, 2024
ETAM @ HCU
98 - 85
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+23.9% more
East Texas A&M: 7.8
vs
Houston Christian: 5.9
Assists (L5)
+19.4% more
East Texas A&M: 16.2
vs
Houston Christian: 13.1
Blocks (L5)
+13.6% more
East Texas A&M: 3.7
vs
Houston Christian: 3.2
Rebounding (L5)
+9.3% more
East Texas A&M: 34.0
vs
Houston Christian: 30.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ETAM Score
84.0
70
HCU Score
72.0
81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
24.9 / 23.6
50.0 / 37.0
Assists
13.1 / 16.2
18.0 / 13.0
Blocks
3.2 / 3.7
5.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
41.2 / 39.3
48.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
72.4 / 65.5
67.0 / 50.0
Rebounding
30.9 / 34.0
40.0 / 34.0
Steals
5.9 / 7.8
10.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
13.6 / 14.2
14.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ETAM
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -4.3
ATS +/-: -1.7
HCU
Advantage
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ETAM
14-16-0
(46.7%)
Margin: -4.3
ATS +/-: -1.7
HCU
Advantage
14-15-1
(48.3%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
ETAM
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: -1.3
HCU
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: -0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HCU
ETAM
HCU
ETAM
ML
68%
21-10
52%
13-12
81%
25-6
62%
15-9
ATS
58%
18-13
56%
14-11
81%
26-6
62%
15-9
TTL
68%
21-10
68%
17-8
100%
32-0
100%
24-0
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