LAMAR
CARDINALSLAM
9-8 | Road
90
NICHOLLS
COLONELSNICH
8-9 | Home
80
AI Model Win Probability
CARDINALS
100%
COLONELS
0%
CARDINALS
--
COLONELS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
113.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
NICHOLLS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Nicholls)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NICH -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NICH)
LAM By 1-7 points
9.3%
LAM By 8-14 points
2.7%
NICH By 1-7 points
21.6%
NICH By 8-14 points
27.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Lamar
51
LAMAR
Nicholls
62
NICHOLLS
Simulated Score
Lamar
70
LAMAR
Nicholls
75
NICHOLLS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Colonels
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Colonels
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Colonels (-4)
Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Colonels (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u139.5
Loss
Proj Total: 113.0
D
Sim
u139.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 23, 2026
NICH @ LAM
53 - 52
Jan 17, 2026
LAM @ NICH
90 - 80
Mar 11, 2025
NICH @ LAM
55 - 58
Mar 3, 2025
NICH @ LAM
53 - 65
Jan 20, 2025
LAM @ NICH
78 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+33.4% more
Nicholls: 16.0
vs
Lamar: 12.0
Steals (L5)
+29.3% more
Nicholls: 9.2
vs
Lamar: 7.1
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.0%
Nicholls: 45.7%
vs
Lamar: 40.7%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.8%
Nicholls: 37.7%
vs
Lamar: 33.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAM Score
51.0
90
NICH Score
62.0
80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.7 / 33.9
39.0 / 63.0
Assists
16.0 / 12.0
14.0 / 16.0
Blocks
2.8 / 4.6
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
45.7 / 40.7
48.0 / 64.0
Free Throw %
63.3 / 74.7
79.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
30.2 / 36.3
21.0 / 31.0
Steals
9.2 / 7.1
10.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
13.3 / 13.3
13.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAM
12-19-0
(38.7%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: -1.5
NICH
Advantage
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: -2.5
ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAM
12-16-1
(42.9%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: -1.5
NICH
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -2.5
ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
LAM
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -1.1
NICH
17-15-0
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NICH
LAM
NICH
LAM
ML
53%
17-15
55%
16-13
68%
19-9
59%
17-12
ATS
47%
15-17
52%
15-14
68%
19-9
60%
18-12
TTL
56%
18-14
72%
21-8
100%
28-0
100%
30-0
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